Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast
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Central East

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Central East is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Central East - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)3976.84686.75646.8+167
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)64611.173410.586510.5+219
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)5118.86118.76898.3+178
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)3586.25247.55977.2+239
Young workforce (25 to 34)62310.772910.487710.6+254
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)1,30022.41,56222.31,78221.6+481
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)89815.51,03914.81,23014.9+332
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)69412.079011.391011.0+216
Seniors (70 to 84)3435.95427.76928.4+348
Elderly aged (85 and over)290.5190.3550.7+27
Total persons5,799100.07,019100.08,261100.0+2,461

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 55 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 692 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 910 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 1,230 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 1,782 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 877 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 597 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 689 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 865 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 564 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 542 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 790 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 1,039 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 1,562 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 729 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 524 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 611 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 734 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 468 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 29 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 343 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 694 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 898 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 1,300 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 623 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 358 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 511 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 646 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 397
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 36 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 149 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 120 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 192 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 219 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 148 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 73 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 78 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 131 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 96 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 199 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 96 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 141 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 262 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 166 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 100 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 88 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 71
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In Central East between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 259 (16.7%), and will comprise 25.8% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 285 (26.7%) and comprise 19.3% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 1,562 persons.

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