Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast
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Central East

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Central East indicate a 14.7% increase in population under working age, a 33.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 20.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Central East - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43976.84686.75646.8+167
5 to 94487.75217.46187.5+170
10 to 144778.25277.56067.3+129
15 to 193666.34606.65236.3+157
20 to 242243.93605.14044.9+180
25 to 292374.13414.94074.9+170
30 to 343866.73895.54705.7+84
35 to 394127.14566.55446.6+132
40 to 444187.25517.96167.5+199
45 to 494718.15557.96217.5+150
50 to 544638.05317.66437.8+180
55 to 594357.55087.25877.1+153
60 to 643766.54306.14915.9+115
65 to 693185.53605.14195.1+101
70 to 742013.52794.03294.0+128
75 to 79871.51852.62292.8+142
80 to 84561.0781.11331.6+78
85 and over290.5190.3550.7+27
Total persons5,799100.07,019100.08,261100.0+2,461

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 55 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 133 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 229 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 329 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 419 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 491 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 587 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 643 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 621 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 616 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 544 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 470 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 407 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 404 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 523 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 606 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 618 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 564 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 78 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 185 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 279 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 360 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 430 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 508 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 531 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 555 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 551 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 456 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 389 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 341 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 360 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 460 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 527 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 521 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 468 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 29 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 56 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 87 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 201 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 318 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 376 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 435 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 463 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 471 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 418 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 412 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 386 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 237 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 224 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 366 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 477 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 448 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 397
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 36 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 55 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 45 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 50 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 59 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 61 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 79 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 112 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 65 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 88 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 81 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 45 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 62 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 79 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 97 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 96 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 98 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 78 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 68 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 84 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 134 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 103 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 136 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 94 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 50 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 71
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Central East was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 136 and account for 5.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 555 persons.

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