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City of Glen EiraPopulation forecast

City of Glen Eira

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Glen Eira indicate a 4.1% increase in population under working age, a 20.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 12.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Glen Eira is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Glen Eira - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49,4366.310,5866.311,1366.2+1,700
5 to 99,5226.49,4445.710,0325.6+510
10 to 148,4645.78,5265.19,1095.0+645
15 to 198,1645.59,4305.69,6275.3+1,463
20 to 2410,9397.312,0067.212,5577.0+1,618
25 to 2912,1538.213,3668.014,2717.9+2,118
30 to 3411,9918.013,3128.013,9867.7+1,995
35 to 3910,4167.013,0727.813,7907.6+3,374
40 to 4410,7277.212,3017.413,1077.3+2,380
45 to 4910,4897.010,8896.512,3056.8+1,816
50 to 549,1576.110,2136.111,2326.2+2,075
55 to 598,4225.79,4775.79,8395.4+1,417
60 to 647,2914.98,2174.99,0415.0+1,750
65 to 696,5634.47,3444.48,1764.5+1,613
70 to 744,4043.06,2013.76,9953.9+2,591
75 to 793,6302.45,2553.15,9563.3+2,326
80 to 842,9632.03,4322.14,5942.5+1,631
85 and over4,2812.93,9812.44,8742.7+593
Total persons149,012100.0167,052100.0180,626100.0+31,613
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Glen Eira was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 2,656 and account for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 13,366 persons.

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