Shire of GinginPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shire of Gingin

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Shire of Gingin indicate a 39.9% increase in population under working age, a 22.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 21.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Shire of Gingin is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shire of Gingin - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2755.24486.85416.7+266
5 to 9 3075.84556.95446.7+237
10 to 14 3336.33775.74956.1+162
15 to 19 2554.82984.53834.7+128
20 to 24 2073.92573.92933.6+86
25 to 29 2925.52734.13264.0+34
30 to 34 2645.03114.73754.6+111
35 to 39 2825.34046.14595.7+177
40 to 44 3095.84376.65176.4+208
45 to 49 3626.84336.55486.7+186
50 to 54 3957.44647.05987.4+203
55 to 59 4087.75267.96478.0+239
60 to 64 4428.35077.66457.9+203
65 to 69 4779.04216.35566.8+79
70 to 74 3095.83545.34295.3+120
75 to 79 2184.13355.13394.2+121
80 to 84 1072.01702.62122.6+105
85 and over661.21592.42222.7+156
Total persons5,308100.06,629100.08,130100.0+2,822

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 222 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 212 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 339 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 429 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 556 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 645 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 647 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 598 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 548 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 517 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 459 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 375 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 326 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 293 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 383 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 495 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 544 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 541 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 159 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 170 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 335 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 354 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 421 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 507 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 526 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 464 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 433 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 437 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 404 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 311 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 273 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 257 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 298 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 377 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 455 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 448 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 66 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 107 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 218 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 309 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 477 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 442 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 408 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 395 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 362 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 309 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 282 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 264 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 292 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 207 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 255 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 333 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 307 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 275
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 63 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 75 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 136 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 138 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 121 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 134 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 115 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 80 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 56 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 64 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 53 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 36 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 85 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 119 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 89 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 94 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 93 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 117 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 45 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -56 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 118 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 69 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 71 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 128 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 122 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 50 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 148 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 173
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the Shire of Gingin was ages 65 to 69 , which accounted for 9.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4 , which is expected to increase by 173 and account for 6.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 526 persons.

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