Shire of GinginPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Lower Coastal

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Lower Coastal is forecast to grow from 1,163 in 2016 to 1,440 in 2026, with the average household size rising from 2.45 to 2.47 by 2026.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the Shire of Gingin. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Lower CoastalForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population1,6221,7552,0472,3702,717
Change in population (5yrs)--132293323347
Average annual change--1.58%3.13%2.97%2.77%
Households6637148299701,115
Average household size2.452.462.472.442.44
Population in non private dwellings00000
Dwellings1,1631,2481,4401,6701,900
Dwelling occupancy rate57.0157.2157.5758.0858.68

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.44 2035 Average household size: 2.44 2034 Average household size: 2.44 2033 Average household size: 2.44 2032 Average household size: 2.44 2031 Average household size: 2.44 2030 Average household size: 2.45 2029 Average household size: 2.45 2028 Average household size: 2.45 2027 Average household size: 2.46 2026 Average household size: 2.47 2025 Average household size: 2.47 2024 Average household size: 2.46 2023 Average household size: 2.48 2022 Average household size: 2.47 2021 Average household size: 2.46 2020 Average household size: 2.48 2019 Average household size: 2.48 2018 Average household size: 2.47 2017 Average household size: 2.47 2016 Average household size: 2.45 2036 Average household size: 2.44 2035 Average household size: 2.44 2034 Average household size: 2.44 2033 Average household size: 2.44 2032 Average household size: 2.44 2031 Average household size: 2.44 2030 Average household size: 2.45 2029 Average household size: 2.45 2028 Average household size: 2.45 2027 Average household size: 2.46 2026 Average household size: 2.47 2025 Average household size: 2.47 2024 Average household size: 2.46 2023 Average household size: 2.48 2022 Average household size: 2.47 2021 Average household size: 2.46 2020 Average household size: 2.48 2019 Average household size: 2.48 2018 Average household size: 2.47 2017 Average household size: 2.47 2036 Households: 1,114 2035 Households: 1,085 2034 Households: 1,056 2033 Households: 1,028 2032 Households: 999 2031 Households: 971 2030 Households: 942 2029 Households: 914 2028 Households: 886 2027 Households: 858 2026 Households: 830 2025 Households: 802 2024 Households: 775 2023 Households: 751 2022 Households: 731 2021 Households: 713 2020 Households: 698 2019 Households: 687 2018 Households: 679 2017 Households: 671 2016 Households: 663 2036 Total population: 2,717 2035 Total population: 2,645 2034 Total population: 2,575 2033 Total population: 2,508 2032 Total population: 2,436 2031 Total population: 2,370 2030 Total population: 2,306 2029 Total population: 2,240 2028 Total population: 2,166 2027 Total population: 2,110 2026 Total population: 2,047 2025 Total population: 1,978 2024 Total population: 1,910 2023 Total population: 1,860 2022 Total population: 1,803 2021 Total population: 1,755 2020 Total population: 1,728 2019 Total population: 1,703 2018 Total population: 1,676 2017 Total population: 1,656 2016 Total population: 1,622
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Lower Coastal was estimated to be 1,622 people. It is expected to increase by over 420 people to 2,047 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.35%. This is based on an increase of over 300 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.45 to 2.47 by 2026.

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