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City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast

City of Greater Geelong

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in City of Greater Geelong will increase by an average of 2,802 dwellings per annum to 176,620 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Greater Geelong. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
City of Greater GeelongChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
City of Greater Geelong+70,054+65.7
Armstrong Creek+9,084+596.8
Barwon Heads - Connewarre - Breamlea+1,030+39.5
Bell Park+652+27.3
Bell Post Hill+2,599+119.0
Clifton Springs+1,282+37.4
Drysdale - Bellarine+1,477+75.9
East Geelong+515+27.7
Geelong - South Geelong - Drumcondra+4,256+120.4
Geelong West - Manifold Heights+1,119+23.9
Hamlyn Heights+873+30.5
Herne Hill - Fyansford+1,511+82.7
Highton - Wandana Heights - Ceres+2,608+30.9
Lovely Banks - Batesford - Moorabool+4,888+493.6
Marshall - Charlemont+6,059+600.2
Mount Duneed+5,756+1296.8
Newcomb - Moolap+747+25.5
Norlane - North Shore+917+21.0
North Geelong - Rippleside+414+25.7
Ocean Grove+3,783+50.9
Rural Bellarine Peninsula+1,002+75.3
Rural North+194+28.8
St Albans Park+341+15.8
St Leonards - Indented Head+2,127+59.9
Thomson - Breakwater+275+19.4
Waurn Ponds+539+37.0
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

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