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City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast

Barwon Heads - Connewarre - Breamlea

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Barwon Heads - Connewarre - Breamlea will increase by an average of 41 dwellings per annum to 3,636 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Barwon Heads - Connewarre - Breamlea. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Dwelling counts for the period 2011 to 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results.

Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • Development will be fairly steady at around 40 dwellings per annum for most of the period
  • The 13th Beach Golf Course is the most significant development at the moment but will be exhausted by about 2024
  • Barwon Terrace and the remainder of the Seabank development are also contributing some dwellings
  • Moderate level of infill development (15-25 dwellings per annum)

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