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City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast

City of Greater Geelong

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in City of Greater Geelong is forecast to grow from 120,587 in 2021 to 177,550 in 2041, with the average household size remaining stable from 2.42 to 2.41 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Greater Geelong. The period 2021 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
City of Greater GeelongForecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population270,786301,908333,751364,203396,388
Change in population (5yrs)--31,12231,84330,45232,185
Average annual change--2.20%2.03%1.76%1.71%
Households108,948121,273134,418147,154160,650
Average household size2.422.432.422.422.41
Population in non private dwellings7,3197,7038,1238,5668,566
Dwellings120,587134,571149,031162,906177,550
Dwelling occupancy rate90.3590.1290.1990.3390.48
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of City of Greater Geelong was estimated to be 270,786 people. It is expected to increase by over 62,965 people to 333,751 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 4.27%. This is based on an increase of over 25,470 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 2.42 to 2.42 by 2026.

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