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City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast


Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Leopold indicate a 0.5% decrease in population under working age, a 37.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Leopold is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Leopold - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49957.68596.11,1626.4+167
5 to 98226.38566.11,1296.2+307
10 to 148126.29006.41,1076.1+295
15 to 198566.58045.71,0475.7+191
20 to 247235.57845.61,0445.7+321
25 to 299777.48716.21,1956.5+218
30 to 349106.98295.91,1576.3+247
35 to 397475.78536.11,0896.0+342
40 to 448616.68686.21,0966.0+235
45 to 497916.07745.51,0245.6+233
50 to 548116.27995.79595.3+148
55 to 597505.77805.59265.1+176
60 to 647235.58325.99255.1+202
65 to 697645.88345.91,0025.5+238
70 to 746084.67755.59735.3+365
75 to 794293.36804.88884.9+459
80 to 842962.34673.37163.9+420
85 and over2652.04923.58254.5+560
Total persons13,140100.014,057100.018,263100.0+5,123
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Leopold was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 251 and account for 4.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 900 persons.

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