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City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast

Curlewis

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Curlewis indicate a 30.8% increase in population under working age, a 61.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 30.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Greater Geelong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Curlewis - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43578.64468.06046.6+247
5 to 93799.24638.36336.9+255
10 to 142776.74167.55776.3+300
15 to 192335.63145.75295.7+296
20 to 242034.92995.45005.4+296
25 to 293428.33756.85656.1+223
30 to 3441710.14828.76567.1+239
35 to 394069.84858.76817.4+275
40 to 442566.24127.46096.6+353
45 to 492455.93205.85976.5+352
50 to 541764.23015.45646.1+389
55 to 591744.22444.45345.8+361
60 to 642255.42684.85225.7+297
65 to 691724.12895.25195.6+347
70 to 741443.52023.64484.9+304
75 to 79751.81342.43373.7+262
80 to 84120.3631.12192.4+208
85 and over461.1370.71191.3+72
Total persons4,139100.05,549100.09,214100.0+5,075
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Curlewis was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 10.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 156 and account for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 485 persons.

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