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City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast

Leopold

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Leopold indicate a 0.7% decrease in population under working age, a 10.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Greater Geelong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Leopold - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 48216.27965.81,0595.9+238
5 to 98496.47925.71,0225.7+174
10 to 147655.88296.01,0175.7+253
15 to 197765.97625.59855.5+210
20 to 247065.37355.39275.1+221
25 to 297415.68386.11,1196.2+378
30 to 349156.98946.51,2567.0+341
35 to 398806.79226.71,2456.9+365
40 to 447435.68856.41,2036.7+460
45 to 498436.47825.71,1456.4+303
50 to 548106.18736.31,1176.2+307
55 to 598216.28476.11,0685.9+247
60 to 647996.08576.21,0095.6+210
65 to 697055.37855.79705.4+265
70 to 747635.86754.98684.8+105
75 to 795564.26764.97604.2+204
80 to 844033.04513.35913.3+189
85 and over3142.44273.16433.6+329
Total persons13,209100.013,826100.018,006100.0+4,797
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Leopold was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 142 and account for 6.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 922 persons.

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