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Fraser Coast Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Hervey Bay - North East

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Hervey Bay - North East is forecast to grow from 16,363 in 2021 to 22,045 in 2046, with the average household size falling from 2.06 to 2.00 by 2046.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Fraser Coast Regional Council. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Hervey Bay - North EastForecast year
Summary202120262031203620412046
Population31,32033,03834,40036,22038,15639,820
Change in population (5yrs)--1,7181,3621,8201,9361,664
Average annual change--1.07%0.81%1.04%1.05%0.86%
Households14,90215,67116,41617,39118,40519,355
Average household size2.062.062.042.022.012.00
Population in non private dwellings6857959271,0191,1111,193
Dwellings16,36317,07718,12319,44820,75122,045
Dwelling occupancy rate91.0791.7790.5889.4288.6987.80
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Hervey Bay - North East was estimated to be 31,320 people. It is expected to increase by over 3,080 people to 34,400 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 0.94%. This is based on an increase of over 1,514 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.06 to 2.04 by 2031.

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