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Fraser Coast Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Fraser Coast Regional Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Fraser Coast Regional Council indicate a 1.8% decrease in population under working age, a 27.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Fraser Coast Regional Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Fraser Coast Regional Council - Total persons202120282046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44,5664.15,3664.36,1244.1+1,557
5 to 95,8415.25,4854.46,7014.4+859
10 to 146,8486.16,0884.96,9234.6+75
15 to 195,8075.26,1214.96,1644.1+356
20 to 244,6414.15,2724.35,3003.5+659
25 to 294,7914.35,1154.15,6903.8+900
30 to 344,9484.45,6894.66,6324.4+1,684
35 to 395,3044.76,2785.17,9845.3+2,679
40 to 445,4134.86,3015.17,8615.2+2,448
45 to 496,4175.76,0194.97,7145.1+1,297
50 to 546,9586.26,4415.28,0185.3+1,060
55 to 598,2337.38,1066.58,6885.8+455
60 to 649,1948.29,4817.610,2656.8+1,070
65 to 699,7708.711,3659.211,2277.4+1,457
70 to 749,5798.510,5918.512,4008.2+2,821
75 to 796,6105.98,9957.311,5597.7+4,949
80 to 843,9903.66,5585.39,8516.5+5,861
85 and over3,1782.84,7363.811,9717.9+8,793
Total persons112,090100.0124,007100.0151,070100.0+38,980
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Fraser Coast Regional Council was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 2,568 and account for 5.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 11,365 persons.

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