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Fraser Coast Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Maryborough Central-North

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Maryborough Central-North indicate a 13.6% decrease in population under working age, a 10.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Fraser Coast Regional Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Maryborough Central-North - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47524.27924.37563.9+4
5 to 99255.18764.78394.4-86
10 to 141,0635.97003.87363.8-327
15 to 191,0345.77013.86373.3-396
20 to 241,0315.79675.28144.2-218
25 to 299475.31,0635.71,0075.2+60
30 to 348614.81,2386.71,2986.8+436
35 to 399015.01,4317.71,5708.2+668
40 to 449585.31,3677.41,5137.9+555
45 to 491,0345.71,0825.81,2756.6+241
50 to 541,1116.28254.41,0495.5-62
55 to 591,2817.11,0175.51,0325.4-249
60 to 641,2797.11,2176.51,0625.5-217
65 to 691,3237.41,2736.81,0105.3-313
70 to 741,2537.01,1916.41,0955.7-158
75 to 799065.01,0965.91,1015.7+196
80 to 846673.79605.21,0695.6+402
85 and over6663.77984.31,3126.8+646
Total persons17,994100.018,593100.019,175100.0+1,182
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Maryborough Central-North was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 530 and account for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 1,431 persons.

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