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Fraser Coast Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Dundowran - Nikenbah Growth Area

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Dundowran - Nikenbah Growth Area indicate a 0.8% decrease in population under working age, a 249.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 98.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Fraser Coast Regional Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Dundowran - Nikenbah Growth Area - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41807.71964.13404.0+160
5 to 91727.41823.83153.7+143
10 to 141817.81513.12452.9+64
15 to 191586.81743.62252.6+66
20 to 24913.92224.62743.2+183
25 to 291124.81843.82843.3+171
30 to 341416.01563.32753.2+135
35 to 391476.31944.13163.7+169
40 to 441406.02515.23934.6+253
45 to 491396.02755.84485.3+309
50 to 541165.02845.95136.0+398
55 to 591385.94108.66958.2+557
60 to 641536.650010.487710.3+723
65 to 691516.549710.48229.7+671
70 to 741486.34228.88079.5+659
75 to 791024.43216.76998.2+597
80 to 84532.32154.54885.8+435
85 and over60.31533.24705.5+464
Total persons2,329100.04,788100.08,488100.0+6,159
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Dundowran - Nikenbah Growth Area was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 347 and account for 10.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 500 persons.

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