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Frankston CityPopulation forecast

Frankston (suburb)

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Frankston (suburb) is forecast to grow from 17,413 in 2021 to 21,507 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 2.24 to 2.22 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Frankston City. The period 2021 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Frankston (suburb)Forecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population37,79040,20842,10044,00245,821
Change in population (5yrs)--2,4181,8921,9031,818
Average annual change--1.25%0.92%0.89%0.81%
Households16,32317,27418,20419,12720,050
Average household size2.242.262.252.232.22
Population in non private dwellings1,1471,1861,2211,3161,376
Dwellings17,41318,45419,47720,49221,507
Dwelling occupancy rate93.7493.6193.4693.3493.23
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Frankston (suburb) was estimated to be 37,790 people. It is expected to increase by over 4,310 people to 42,100 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.18%. This is based on an increase of over 1,881 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 2.24 to 2.25 by 2026.

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