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Frankston CityPopulation forecast

Frankston City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Frankston City indicate a 8.5% increase in population under working age, a 31.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Frankston City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Frankston City - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49,7097.09,7696.49,8806.0+171
5 to 98,7646.39,6686.49,6545.9+890
10 to 147,9635.79,2516.19,3505.7+1,387
15 to 198,3626.08,8365.89,4125.8+1,050
20 to 249,3096.78,9955.99,8436.0+534
25 to 299,7147.09,6456.410,1496.2+435
30 to 3410,1907.310,1716.710,3386.3+148
35 to 399,4086.710,2656.810,3596.3+951
40 to 449,8117.010,2376.810,4036.4+591
45 to 499,8827.19,6986.410,3466.3+464
50 to 549,3616.79,6736.410,0016.1+640
55 to 598,8466.39,5006.39,7616.0+915
60 to 647,4515.38,8005.89,0635.5+1,612
65 to 696,7404.87,9145.28,6865.3+1,946
70 to 745,0613.66,5624.38,0995.0+3,038
75 to 793,6282.65,5153.67,1084.3+3,480
80 to 842,5711.83,8502.55,8423.6+3,271
85 and over2,7252.03,3002.25,3153.2+2,590
Total persons139,496100.0151,652100.0163,610100.0+24,114
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), September 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Frankston City was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 1,887 and account for 3.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 10,265 persons.

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