Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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Frankston North

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Frankston North indicate a 10.5% increase in population under working age, a 3.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Frankston City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Frankston North - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44497.54286.84246.5-25
5 to 93826.44397.04326.6+50
10 to 143075.13916.23765.8+69
15 to 192854.83245.13455.3+60
20 to 244918.24146.64386.7-53
25 to 294457.54607.34717.2+26
30 to 343936.64477.14276.6+34
35 to 393215.43866.13845.9+63
40 to 443245.43585.73675.6+43
45 to 494327.23756.04076.3-25
50 to 543866.53745.94006.2+14
55 to 593746.34126.53906.0+16
60 to 642834.73575.73535.4+70
65 to 692474.12894.62994.6+52
70 to 742504.22303.72974.6+47
75 to 792293.81973.12493.8+20
80 to 841692.81792.82053.1+36
85 and over1973.32393.82433.7+46
Total persons5,964100.06,301100.06,506100.0+542

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 243 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 205 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 249 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 297 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 299 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 353 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 390 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 400 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 407 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 367 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 384 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 427 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 471 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 438 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 345 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 376 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 432 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 424 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 239 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 197 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 230 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 289 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 357 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 412 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 374 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 375 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 358 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 386 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 447 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 460 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 414 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 324 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 391 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 439 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 428 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 197 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 169 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 229 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 250 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 247 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 283 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 374 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 386 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 432 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 324 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 321 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 393 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 445 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 491 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 285 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 307 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 382 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 449
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 4 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 26 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 52 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 66 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 9 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: -22 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 26 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 31 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 9 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: -2 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -21 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 11 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 25 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 20 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -15 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: -7 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -5 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: -32 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -20 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 74 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 38 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -12 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -57 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 15 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -77 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 84 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -21
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Frankston North was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 84 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 460 persons.

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