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Fairfield CityPopulation forecast

Canley Vale

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Canley Vale indicate a 0.1% decrease in population under working age, a 20.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a --% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Fairfield City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Canley Vale - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44574.45775.46585.1+201
5 to 95985.84944.66405.0+42
10 to 146506.36325.97015.5+51
15 to 196886.77106.77956.2+107
20 to 247617.47757.39047.1+143
25 to 297337.16996.68406.6+107
30 to 345905.76356.07465.8+156
35 to 397016.86295.97636.0+62
40 to 446786.66986.67796.1+101
45 to 496906.76756.37696.0+79
50 to 546626.47056.67796.1+118
55 to 597647.47156.78426.6+78
60 to 647347.17627.28326.5+98
65 to 695395.26536.17355.7+196
70 to 743403.34544.35924.6+252
75 to 792312.22922.75094.0+278
80 to 841831.81931.83883.0+205
85 and over3173.13423.25224.1+204
Total persons10,317100.010,640100.012,792100.0+2,476
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Canley Vale was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 120 and account for 5.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 775 persons.

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