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Fairfield CityPopulation forecast


Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Bonnyrigg is 30-34 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Fairfield City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • It is expected that there will be higher rates of growth with the continued redevelopment of the area and, in later periods, development of medium and hihger density housing around the planned town centre
  • Gain of family households (0-14 and 30-44 year olds)
  • Moderate gain of young adults and couples (18-29 years)
  • Moderate gain of empty nesters (50-64 years) with the ongoing redevelopment providing greater housing choice for down-sizers
  • Little net change through migration expected in age groups 70+

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