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Eurobodalla Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Narooma - North Narooma - Kianga

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Narooma - North Narooma - Kianga indicate a 41.9% increase in population under working age, a 10.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Narooma - North Narooma - Kianga is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Narooma - North Narooma - Kianga - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41374.01714.51764.4+40
5 to 91364.02065.42115.2+75
10 to 141303.81955.12095.2+79
15 to 191103.21393.71684.2+59
20 to 241033.0992.61263.1+23
25 to 291474.31072.81172.9-30
30 to 341123.31263.31273.2+15
35 to 391183.41694.41634.0+45
40 to 441654.82005.22075.1+42
45 to 491885.52015.32265.6+38
50 to 541745.12456.42676.6+93
55 to 592918.53038.03167.8+25
60 to 6441112.03238.53729.2-39
65 to 6940811.93639.53779.4-31
70 to 742978.73599.43127.8+15
75 to 792076.03017.92827.0+76
80 to 841564.61834.82255.6+69
85 and over1313.81153.01473.6+15
Total persons3,420100.03,802100.04,029100.0+608
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Narooma - North Narooma - Kianga was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 12.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 94 and account for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 363 persons.

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