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East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast

East Gippsland Shire

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for East Gippsland Shire indicate a 0.2% increase in females under working age, a 1.8% increase in females of retirement age, and a 2.0% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the East Gippsland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
East Gippsland Shire - Total females[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222041Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0794.41,1174.51,3904.4+311
5 to 91,2555.11,2174.91,4854.7+230
10 to 141,3235.41,3295.31,5695.0+247
15 to 191,1004.51,1724.71,3824.4+282
20 to 248773.69223.71,1633.7+286
25 to 291,1044.51,0964.41,3524.3+247
30 to 341,1844.81,2354.91,4604.6+276
35 to 391,1824.81,2244.91,5725.0+390
40 to 441,1964.91,2445.01,6705.3+474
45 to 491,3445.51,3395.41,7675.6+423
50 to 541,6006.51,5996.41,8936.0+293
55 to 591,8267.41,8437.42,1606.9+334
60 to 642,1388.72,1458.62,4507.8+312
65 to 692,1528.82,1838.82,6378.4+485
70 to 742,0018.22,0358.22,5518.1+550
75 to 791,4355.81,5026.02,1636.9+729
80 to 848903.69353.71,6045.1+713
85 and over8563.58103.21,1463.6+290
Total persons24,543100.024,947100.031,416100.0+6,873
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for females in East Gippsland Shire was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 8.8% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 72 and account for 4.7% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2022 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 2,183 females.

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