Town of East FremantlePopulation forecast
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Town of East Fremantle

Drivers of population change

The Town of East Fremantle is located in the south-western suburbs of Perth, about 16 kilometres from the Perth GPO. The Town of East Fremantle is an established residential area, with some commercial land use. The Town includes many heritage homes, gardens and landscapes. The Town of East Fremantle encompasses a total land area of 3 square kilometres.

Development history

Growth took place during the 1890s and early 1900s, spurred by the gold rush and the development of neighbouring Fremantle. The population of the City was about 3,000 in 1911, rising to 4,400 in 1921, and then to 5,200 in 1933. Steady growth took place from the post-war years, with the population rising from about 6,200 in 1947 to about 7,300 in 1971. The population declined during the 1970s and early 1980s, falling to about 5,700 in 1986. The population then rose again to about 6,400 in 1991, before declining marginally during the early 1990s, falling to 6,200 in 1996. The population increased gradually from the late 1990s, rising to nearly 6,900 people in 2011.

Migration patterns

The City has attracted families, generally with parents in their 30s and 40s, who are likely to be moving as owner-occupiers from elsewhere in Perth. The City primarily attracts new residents from other parts of metropolitan Perth, particularly councils in near proximity such as Mosman Park and Cottesloe, but also from some of the outer northern councils such as Joondalup. A significant number of new residents also come from overseas. The City loses population to parts of the outer south (Kwinana and Rockingham) and even the south west of the State (Mandurah and Busselton).

Historical migration flows, Town of East Fremantle, 2016-2011
Historical migration flows, Town of East Fremantle, 2016-2011
'Overseas' refers to arrivals only.

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Note: The migration flows depicted above are historical and do not represent future or forecast migration flows or subsequent council boundary changes. The arrows represent migration flows to the area as a whole and do not indicate an origin or destination for any specific localities within the area. Overseas flow shows overseas arrivals only, based on answers to the census question “where did the person usually live 5-years ago.

Housing role and function

Despite its small size, the City encompasses several housing markets, but overall is dominated by the in-migration of higher-income established family groups; however, with the development of higher density developments along the Canning Highway, with high proportions of rental opportunities, there is an increasing number of young adults, who then tend to move elsewhere as their circumstances change and they wish to form families.

Housing supply

As an established part of Perth's metropolitan area, new development opportunities in the Town are primarily limited to a small number of strategic sites (the main future opportunity being the Leeuwin Army Barracks), higher density development along the Canning Highway and the commercial strip along George Street, and a modest level of incremental infill in existing residential areas. The residential areas of East Fremantle are unlikely to see significant residential development due to planning constraints and a general lack of redevelopment opportunities, with most growth being concentrated within individual large developments, such as the Leeuwin Army Barracks, along the Canning Highway and within identified commercial precincts. Overall, the existing residential areas are expected to undergo minimal levels of growth and to continue to attract high income family groups upgrading from other areas of Perth; however, the higher density areas, and the potential redevelopment of the Leeuwin Army barracks, is likely to attract young adults into apartment style dwellings. This is likely to change the migration profile in the longer term (post 2026). Many of these new households are assumed to be smaller households - couples or lone persons - or living in group households (flat-sharing). It is also likely that much of this development will increase the rental stock in the Town, as opposed to be attracting owner-occupiers.

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