City of DarebinPopulation forecast
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Fairfield

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Fairfield indicate a 17.7% increase in population under working age, a 30.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 20.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Darebin is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Fairfield - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43806.34335.95085.7+127
5 to 93325.53775.24495.0+117
10 to 142504.13224.43794.3+129
15 to 192564.33544.94214.7+165
20 to 244617.65647.76797.6+218
25 to 2963710.675910.490510.2+267
30 to 3464410.774710.288710.0+243
35 to 394948.26889.48209.2+327
40 to 444637.76148.47398.3+276
45 to 494497.44696.46207.0+171
50 to 543756.23965.45305.9+155
55 to 593395.63574.94324.9+93
60 to 642514.22994.13503.9+98
65 to 691742.92663.62883.2+114
70 to 741402.31942.72572.9+117
75 to 791552.61632.22472.8+92
80 to 841302.21442.02232.5+93
85 and over971.61432.01752.0+77
Total persons6,027100.07,289100.08,906100.0+2,879

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 175 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 223 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 247 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 257 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 288 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 350 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 432 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 530 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 620 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 739 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 820 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 887 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 905 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 679 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 421 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 379 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 449 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 508 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 143 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 144 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 163 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 266 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 299 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 357 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 396 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 469 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 614 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 688 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 747 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 759 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 564 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 354 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 322 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 377 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 433 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 97 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 130 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 155 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 140 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 174 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 251 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 339 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 375 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 449 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 463 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 494 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 644 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 637 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 461 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 256 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 250 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 332 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 380
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 32 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 78 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 84 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 62 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 22 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 50 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 76 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 134 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 150 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 125 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 133 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 140 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 145 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 115 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 66 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 57 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 72 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 75 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 45 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 14 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 92 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 151 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 103 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 122 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 103 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 98 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 45 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 52
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Fairfield was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 10.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 194 and account for 9.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 759 persons.

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