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City of DarebinPopulation forecast

Northcote Activity Centre

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Northcote Activity Centre indicate a 99.2% increase in females under working age, a 118.3% increase in females of retirement age, and a 89.7% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Darebin is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Northcote Activity Centre - Total females202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4794.02145.52615.3+182
5 to 91085.41734.52224.5+114
10 to 14753.81353.51913.9+116
15 to 19552.71834.72174.4+163
20 to 241105.53859.94148.4+304
25 to 2928914.553213.758311.8+294
30 to 3427813.942110.951710.5+239
35 to 391929.62737.13537.2+160
40 to 441989.92807.23256.6+127
45 to 491366.83067.93597.3+223
50 to 541487.42606.73376.8+189
55 to 59874.31574.12775.6+190
60 to 64542.71383.62164.4+163
65 to 69482.41022.61533.1+105
70 to 74341.7822.11463.0+113
75 to 79261.3772.01222.5+97
80 to 84311.6611.6982.0+67
85 and over522.6952.51312.7+80
Total persons1,999100.03,875100.04,923100.0+2,924
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Northcote Activity Centre was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 14.5% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 275 and account for 9.9% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 532 females.

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