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City of DarebinPopulation forecast

Preston Activity Centre

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Preston Activity Centre indicate a 204.0% increase in population under working age, a 153.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 141.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Darebin is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Preston Activity Centre - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42344.98907.41,3897.1+1,155
5 to 91813.85834.89955.1+813
10 to 141883.93603.07073.6+519
15 to 191423.05424.58784.5+736
20 to 243357.01,1639.71,6058.2+1,271
25 to 2961712.91,40311.72,02410.4+1,406
30 to 3462713.11,27810.61,95010.0+1,322
35 to 3949410.31,20110.01,8309.4+1,336
40 to 443747.81,0088.41,5788.1+1,204
45 to 493096.47316.11,3316.8+1,022
50 to 542845.95544.61,0935.6+809
55 to 592164.54733.98664.4+650
60 to 642334.84253.57143.7+482
65 to 691443.03783.16543.4+510
70 to 741412.93302.75582.9+417
75 to 79942.02582.14952.5+402
80 to 84851.82281.94192.2+334
85 and over1002.12372.04192.1+319
Total persons4,798100.012,041100.019,505100.0+14,707
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Preston Activity Centre was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 13.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 828 and account for 9.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,403 persons.

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