Shire of DardanupPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shire of Dardanup

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Shire of Dardanup indicate a 22.7% increase in population under working age, a 63.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 17.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shire of Dardanup is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shire of Dardanup - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,1307.91,3617.61,8837.8+753
5 to 9 1,0597.41,2957.21,8427.6+783
10 to 14 9756.81,2266.81,7107.1+735
15 to 19 9476.61,0415.81,4015.8+454
20 to 24 8525.99925.51,2925.4+440
25 to 29 1,0207.11,1446.41,5626.5+542
30 to 34 9696.71,2136.71,7287.2+759
35 to 39 9306.51,1946.61,7187.1+788
40 to 44 9026.31,1406.31,5926.6+690
45 to 49 9576.71,0415.81,4305.9+473
50 to 54 9376.59995.61,3095.4+372
55 to 59 8966.29765.41,2205.1+324
60 to 64 7555.29865.51,1794.9+424
65 to 69 6804.79205.11,0854.5+405
70 to 74 4513.18164.59654.0+514
75 to 79 4122.96583.78393.5+427
80 to 84 2711.95042.86692.8+398
85 and over2471.74742.66752.8+428
Total persons14,390100.017,980100.024,097100.0+9,707

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 675 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 669 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 839 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 965 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 1,085 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 1,179 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,220 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,309 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,430 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,592 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,718 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 1,728 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,562 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,292 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 1,401 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 1,710 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 1,842 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,883 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 474 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 504 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 658 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 816 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 920 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 986 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 976 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 999 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 1,041 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 1,140 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 1,194 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 1,213 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 1,144 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 992 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 1,041 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 1,226 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 1,295 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 1,361 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 247 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 271 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 412 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 451 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 680 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 755 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 896 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 937 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 957 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 902 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 930 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 969 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,020 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 852 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 947 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 975 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,059 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,130
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 201 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 164 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 182 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 149 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 165 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 193 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 244 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 310 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 388 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 452 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 524 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 515 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 417 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 299 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 360 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 484 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 548 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 522 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 227 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 233 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 246 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 365 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 240 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 231 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 80 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 62 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 84 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 238 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 264 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 244 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 124 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 140 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 94 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 251 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 236 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 231
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Shire of Dardanup was ages 0 to 4 , which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 365 and account for 4.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 1,361 persons.

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