Shire of DardanupPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shire of Dardanup

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Shire of Dardanup is forecast for the period from 2037 to 2041, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,369 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shire of DardanupForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,2001,2011,2911,4751,721
Deaths--463531613703791
Natural increase/decrease--737670678772930
Net migration---1582991,2651,9272,390
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--050505050

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 676 2040 forecast population change: 732 2039 forecast population change: 671 2038 forecast population change: 638 2037 forecast population change: 652 2036 forecast population change: 597 2035 forecast population change: 631 2034 forecast population change: 539 2033 forecast population change: 503 2032 forecast population change: 478 2031 forecast population change: 476 2030 forecast population change: 465 2029 forecast population change: 381 2028 forecast population change: 350 2027 forecast population change: 320 2026 forecast population change: 271 2025 forecast population change: 268 2024 forecast population change: 199 2023 forecast population change: 161 2022 forecast population change: 120 2021 forecast population change: 107 2020 forecast population change: 141 2019 forecast population change: 142 2018 forecast population change: 128 2017 forecast population change: 61
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Total deaths: 165 2040 Total deaths: 161 2039 Total deaths: 158 2038 Total deaths: 155 2037 Total deaths: 152 2036 Total deaths: 149 2035 Total deaths: 145 2034 Total deaths: 141 2033 Total deaths: 136 2032 Total deaths: 133 2031 Total deaths: 129 2030 Total deaths: 126 2029 Total deaths: 123 2028 Total deaths: 120 2027 Total deaths: 116 2026 Total deaths: 113 2025 Total deaths: 109 2024 Total deaths: 106 2023 Total deaths: 103 2022 Total deaths: 100 2021 Total deaths: 97 2020 Total deaths: 95 2019 Total deaths: 93 2018 Total deaths: 90 2017 Total deaths: 89 2041 Natural increase: 201 2040 Natural increase: 194 2039 Natural increase: 186 2038 Natural increase: 179 2037 Natural increase: 171 2036 Natural increase: 164 2035 Natural increase: 158 2034 Natural increase: 154 2033 Natural increase: 150 2032 Natural increase: 146 2031 Natural increase: 141 2030 Natural increase: 138 2029 Natural increase: 135 2028 Natural increase: 133 2027 Natural increase: 131 2026 Natural increase: 131 2025 Natural increase: 132 2024 Natural increase: 133 2023 Natural increase: 135 2022 Natural increase: 139 2021 Natural increase: 143 2020 Natural increase: 145 2019 Natural increase: 147 2018 Natural increase: 150 2017 Natural increase: 153 2041 Total births: 366 2040 Total births: 355 2039 Total births: 344 2038 Total births: 334 2037 Total births: 323 2036 Total births: 313 2035 Total births: 303 2034 Total births: 294 2033 Total births: 286 2032 Total births: 278 2031 Total births: 270 2030 Total births: 264 2029 Total births: 258 2028 Total births: 252 2027 Total births: 247 2026 Total births: 244 2025 Total births: 241 2024 Total births: 239 2023 Total births: 238 2022 Total births: 239 2021 Total births: 240 2020 Total births: 240 2019 Total births: 239 2018 Total births: 240 2017 Total births: 242 2041 Total deaths: 165 2040 Total deaths: 161 2039 Total deaths: 158 2038 Total deaths: 155 2037 Total deaths: 152 2036 Total deaths: 149 2035 Total deaths: 145 2034 Total deaths: 141 2033 Total deaths: 136 2032 Total deaths: 133 2031 Total deaths: 129 2030 Total deaths: 126 2029 Total deaths: 123 2028 Total deaths: 120 2027 Total deaths: 116 2026 Total deaths: 113 2025 Total deaths: 109 2024 Total deaths: 106 2023 Total deaths: 103 2022 Total deaths: 100 2021 Total deaths: 97 2020 Total deaths: 95 2019 Total deaths: 93 2018 Total deaths: 90 2017 Total deaths: 89 2041 Natural increase: 201 2040 Natural increase: 194 2039 Natural increase: 186 2038 Natural increase: 179 2037 Natural increase: 171 2036 Natural increase: 164 2035 Natural increase: 158 2034 Natural increase: 154 2033 Natural increase: 150 2032 Natural increase: 146 2031 Natural increase: 141 2030 Natural increase: 138 2029 Natural increase: 135 2028 Natural increase: 133 2027 Natural increase: 131 2026 Natural increase: 131 2025 Natural increase: 132 2024 Natural increase: 133 2023 Natural increase: 135 2022 Natural increase: 139 2021 Natural increase: 143 2020 Natural increase: 145 2019 Natural increase: 147 2018 Natural increase: 150 2017 Natural increase: 153 2041 Total births: 366 2040 Total births: 355 2039 Total births: 344 2038 Total births: 334 2037 Total births: 323 2036 Total births: 313 2035 Total births: 303 2034 Total births: 294 2033 Total births: 286 2032 Total births: 278 2031 Total births: 270 2030 Total births: 264 2029 Total births: 258 2028 Total births: 252 2027 Total births: 247 2026 Total births: 244 2025 Total births: 241 2024 Total births: 239 2023 Total births: 238 2022 Total births: 239 2021 Total births: 240 2020 Total births: 240 2019 Total births: 239 2018 Total births: 240 2017 Total births: 242
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 475 2040 Total net migration: 489 2039 Total net migration: 486 2038 Total net migration: 459 2037 Total net migration: 481 2036 Total net migration: 433 2035 Total net migration: 423 2034 Total net migration: 386 2033 Total net migration: 354 2032 Total net migration: 332 2031 Total net migration: 335 2030 Total net migration: 277 2029 Total net migration: 246 2028 Total net migration: 218 2027 Total net migration: 189 2026 Total net migration: 140 2025 Total net migration: 87 2024 Total net migration: 66 2023 Total net migration: 25 2022 Total net migration: -19 2021 Total net migration: -36 2020 Total net migration: -4 2019 Total net migration: -5 2018 Total net migration: -22 2017 Total net migration: -93 2041 Total out migration: 2,041 2040 Total out migration: 1,977 2039 Total out migration: 1,917 2038 Total out migration: 1,860 2037 Total out migration: 1,799 2036 Total out migration: 1,743 2035 Total out migration: 1,687 2034 Total out migration: 1,636 2033 Total out migration: 1,588 2032 Total out migration: 1,543 2031 Total out migration: 1,498 2030 Total out migration: 1,459 2029 Total out migration: 1,423 2028 Total out migration: 1,392 2027 Total out migration: 1,363 2026 Total out migration: 1,338 2025 Total out migration: 1,322 2024 Total out migration: 1,304 2023 Total out migration: 1,293 2022 Total out migration: 1,287 2021 Total out migration: 1,284 2020 Total out migration: 1,279 2019 Total out migration: 1,270 2018 Total out migration: 1,261 2017 Total out migration: 1,261 2041 Total in migration: 2,515 2040 Total in migration: 2,466 2039 Total in migration: 2,403 2038 Total in migration: 2,319 2037 Total in migration: 2,280 2036 Total in migration: 2,176 2035 Total in migration: 2,110 2034 Total in migration: 2,021 2033 Total in migration: 1,942 2032 Total in migration: 1,875 2031 Total in migration: 1,833 2030 Total in migration: 1,737 2029 Total in migration: 1,670 2028 Total in migration: 1,610 2027 Total in migration: 1,552 2026 Total in migration: 1,478 2025 Total in migration: 1,409 2024 Total in migration: 1,370 2023 Total in migration: 1,318 2022 Total in migration: 1,267 2021 Total in migration: 1,248 2020 Total in migration: 1,276 2019 Total in migration: 1,266 2018 Total in migration: 1,239 2017 Total in migration: 1,168 2041 Total net migration: 475 2040 Total net migration: 489 2039 Total net migration: 486 2038 Total net migration: 459 2037 Total net migration: 481 2036 Total net migration: 433 2035 Total net migration: 423 2034 Total net migration: 386 2033 Total net migration: 354 2032 Total net migration: 332 2031 Total net migration: 335 2030 Total net migration: 277 2029 Total net migration: 246 2028 Total net migration: 218 2027 Total net migration: 189 2026 Total net migration: 140 2025 Total net migration: 87 2024 Total net migration: 66 2023 Total net migration: 25 2022 Total net migration: -19 2021 Total net migration: -36 2020 Total net migration: -4 2019 Total net migration: -5 2018 Total net migration: -22 2017 Total net migration: -93 2041 Total out migration: 2,041 2040 Total out migration: 1,977 2039 Total out migration: 1,917 2038 Total out migration: 1,860 2037 Total out migration: 1,799 2036 Total out migration: 1,743 2035 Total out migration: 1,687 2034 Total out migration: 1,636 2033 Total out migration: 1,588 2032 Total out migration: 1,543 2031 Total out migration: 1,498 2030 Total out migration: 1,459 2029 Total out migration: 1,423 2028 Total out migration: 1,392 2027 Total out migration: 1,363 2026 Total out migration: 1,338 2025 Total out migration: 1,322 2024 Total out migration: 1,304 2023 Total out migration: 1,293 2022 Total out migration: 1,287 2021 Total out migration: 1,284 2020 Total out migration: 1,279 2019 Total out migration: 1,270 2018 Total out migration: 1,261 2017 Total out migration: 1,261 2041 Total in migration: 2,515 2040 Total in migration: 2,466 2039 Total in migration: 2,403 2038 Total in migration: 2,319 2037 Total in migration: 2,280 2036 Total in migration: 2,176 2035 Total in migration: 2,110 2034 Total in migration: 2,021 2033 Total in migration: 1,942 2032 Total in migration: 1,875 2031 Total in migration: 1,833 2030 Total in migration: 1,737 2029 Total in migration: 1,670 2028 Total in migration: 1,610 2027 Total in migration: 1,552 2026 Total in migration: 1,478 2025 Total in migration: 1,409 2024 Total in migration: 1,370 2023 Total in migration: 1,318 2022 Total in migration: 1,267 2021 Total in migration: 1,248 2020 Total in migration: 1,276 2019 Total in migration: 1,266 2018 Total in migration: 1,239 2017 Total in migration: 1,168
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
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