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Cumberland City CouncilPopulation forecast

Pendle Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Pendle Hill indicate a 81.2% increase in population under working age, a 45.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 31.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cumberland City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Pendle Hill - Total persons202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44066.58189.28867.7+480
5 to 94336.97748.71,0028.7+569
10 to 142974.74665.28337.3+536
15 to 192453.93554.06045.3+359
20 to 244086.55476.16135.3+205
25 to 295619.07708.67686.7+207
30 to 3464010.28159.18697.6+229
35 to 3972911.66747.67966.9+67
40 to 444657.47698.67526.6+287
45 to 493455.55356.07366.4+391
50 to 543345.34495.07526.6+418
55 to 592994.83724.25765.0+277
60 to 642453.93183.64483.9+203
65 to 692043.33133.54083.6+204
70 to 741812.92372.73823.3+201
75 to 791252.02082.33302.9+205
80 to 841672.72192.53062.7+139
85 and over1842.92753.14013.5+217
Total persons6,268100.08,912100.011,463100.0+5,195
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Pendle Hill was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 11.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 412 and account for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 818 persons.

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