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Cumberland CouncilPopulation forecast

Merrylands - Holroyd

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Merrylands - Holroyd indicate a 43.2% increase in population under working age, a 32.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 33.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Merrylands - Holroyd is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Merrylands - Holroyd - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,7708.53,9248.94,1848.6+1,413
5 to 92,2546.93,1927.33,5227.2+1,268
10 to 141,8685.72,7516.23,1166.4+1,248
15 to 191,9806.12,8106.43,1526.4+1,171
20 to 242,7858.63,4717.93,7787.7+993
25 to 293,38010.44,2959.84,4299.1+1,049
30 to 343,26910.14,1559.44,2008.6+932
35 to 392,4517.53,4787.93,6407.4+1,189
40 to 441,9726.12,9746.83,1856.5+1,213
45 to 491,8315.62,5465.82,9406.0+1,108
50 to 541,8295.62,2345.12,7615.6+932
55 to 591,5124.72,0734.72,4665.0+953
60 to 641,3574.21,8204.12,0714.2+714
65 to 691,0013.11,3883.21,7423.6+741
70 to 748092.51,0702.41,3772.8+568
75 to 795601.77151.69792.0+419
80 to 844271.35571.37231.5+296
85 and over4501.45701.36321.3+182
Total persons32,507100.044,024100.048,895100.0+16,388
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Merrylands - Holroyd was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 1,154 and account for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 4,295 persons.

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