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Cumberland City CouncilPopulation forecast

Pendle Hill

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Pendle Hill is 5-9 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Cumberland City Council depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively consistent profile across the forecast period, with net migration increasing over time as residential development opportunities are realised
  • Significant gain of young adults and young families, seeking relatively affordable home owning and rental opportunities with good access to employment and education
  • Small scale out-migration of young families
  • Minor gains of 55-69 years olds, but generally minimal population change through migration at 70 years and older.

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