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Canberra Region Joint Organisation areaPopulation forecast

Canberra Region Joint Organisation area

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Canberra Region Joint Organisation area indicate a 3.8% increase in population under working age, a 13.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Canberra Region Joint Organisation area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Canberra Region Joint Organisation area - Total persons202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 413,7305.914,1745.815,9695.8+2,239
5 to 914,0476.014,9546.116,8576.1+2,809
10 to 1414,6496.214,8996.116,9766.1+2,327
15 to 1912,6905.413,5275.514,9475.4+2,256
20 to 2411,5094.911,3944.612,6214.6+1,113
25 to 2911,4734.911,7984.813,0144.7+1,540
30 to 3412,4455.312,6295.114,1445.1+1,699
35 to 3913,6895.814,2555.815,9995.8+2,310
40 to 4413,8875.915,2966.217,3066.3+3,419
45 to 4915,0886.415,0556.117,5096.3+2,421
50 to 5416,0056.815,8756.417,5496.3+1,545
55 to 5916,6457.116,6366.817,3006.3+655
60 to 6417,0197.317,1026.917,7636.4+744
65 to 6915,5726.616,7086.817,4596.3+1,887
70 to 7414,0966.014,6846.016,3265.9+2,230
75 to 799,7524.212,3215.014,2185.1+4,466
80 to 846,5512.88,0903.310,9554.0+4,404
85 and over5,7092.46,7472.79,5803.5+3,871
Total persons234,557100.0246,144100.0276,493100.0+41,936
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2021.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Canberra Region Joint Organisation area was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 2,570 and account for 5.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 17,102 persons.

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