Colac Otway ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Colac Otway Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Colac Otway Shire will increase by an average of 118 dwellings per annum to 14,698 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Colac Otway Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
Colac Otway ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
Colac Otway Shire+2,962+25.2
Colac - Central+215+11.5
Colac - East+346+27.5
Colac - West+603+44.7
Elliminyt+564+50.1
Great Ocean Road - Otways+740+23.5
Rural North+213+14.2
Rural South+281+18.8

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2018.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 14,698 2040 Total dwellings: 14,567 2039 Total dwellings: 14,436 2038 Total dwellings: 14,302 2037 Total dwellings: 14,167 2036 Total dwellings: 14,035 2035 Total dwellings: 13,906 2034 Total dwellings: 13,777 2033 Total dwellings: 13,650 2032 Total dwellings: 13,521 2031 Total dwellings: 13,400 2030 Total dwellings: 13,279 2029 Total dwellings: 13,157 2028 Total dwellings: 13,039 2027 Total dwellings: 12,922 2026 Total dwellings: 12,803 2025 Total dwellings: 12,684 2024 Total dwellings: 12,566 2023 Total dwellings: 12,449 2022 Total dwellings: 12,335 2021 Total dwellings: 12,220 2020 Total dwellings: 12,117 2019 Total dwellings: 12,005 2018 Total dwellings: 11,908 2017 Total dwellings: 11,822 2041 Total dwellings: 14,698 2040 Total dwellings: 14,567 2039 Total dwellings: 14,436 2038 Total dwellings: 14,302 2037 Total dwellings: 14,167 2036 Total dwellings: 14,035 2035 Total dwellings: 13,906 2034 Total dwellings: 13,777 2033 Total dwellings: 13,650 2032 Total dwellings: 13,521 2031 Total dwellings: 13,400 2030 Total dwellings: 13,279 2029 Total dwellings: 13,157 2028 Total dwellings: 13,039 2027 Total dwellings: 12,922 2026 Total dwellings: 12,803 2025 Total dwellings: 12,684 2024 Total dwellings: 12,566 2023 Total dwellings: 12,449 2022 Total dwellings: 12,335 2021 Total dwellings: 12,220 2020 Total dwellings: 12,117 2019 Total dwellings: 12,005 2018 Total dwellings: 11,908 2017 Total dwellings: 11,822 2041 Forecast development: 131 2040 Forecast development: 131 2039 Forecast development: 134 2038 Forecast development: 135 2037 Forecast development: 132 2036 Forecast development: 129 2035 Forecast development: 129 2034 Forecast development: 127 2033 Forecast development: 129 2032 Forecast development: 121 2031 Forecast development: 121 2030 Forecast development: 122 2029 Forecast development: 118 2028 Forecast development: 117 2027 Forecast development: 119 2026 Forecast development: 119 2025 Forecast development: 118 2024 Forecast development: 117 2023 Forecast development: 114 2022 Forecast development: 115 2021 Forecast development: 103 2020 Forecast development: 112 2019 Forecast development: 97 2018 Forecast development: 86 2017 Forecast development: 86
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
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