Colac Otway ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Colac Otway Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Colac Otway Shire is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Colac Otway Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Relatively small change to population thorugh migration over each 5-year period, owing to the limited amount of development opportunity in the area
  • Overall a dual housing market with gains of families (20-49 and 0-9 years), as well as older adults and retirees (45-64 years)
  • Adidtionally, there are small gains of young adults in their 20s, mostly male, attracted to rental opportunties in Colac
  • Small gain of frail elderly (85 years and over)
  • Loss of young adults (18-19 years) attracted to education opportunities elsewhere
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 42 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -31 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -35 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -5 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 22 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 61 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 134 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 133 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 69 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 42 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 79 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 94 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 141 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 62 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -123 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -24 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 114 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 103 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 62 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -28 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -4 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 16 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 39 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 110 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 105 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 64 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 41 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 74 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 59 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 115 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 40 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -124 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -41 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 97 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 78 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 59 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -20 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -15 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -3 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -4 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 17 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 78 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 77 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 27 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 45 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 70 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 49 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 59 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -30 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -168 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -65 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 61 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 49 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 42 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -31 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -35 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -5 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 22 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 61 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 134 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 133 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 69 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 42 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 79 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 94 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 141 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 62 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -123 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -24 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 114 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 103 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 62 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -28 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -4 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 16 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 39 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 110 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 105 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 64 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 41 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 74 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 59 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 115 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 40 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -124 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -41 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 97 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 78 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 59 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -20 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -15 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -3 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -4 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 17 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 78 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 77 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 27 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 45 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 70 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 49 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 59 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -30 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -168 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -65 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 61 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 49
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
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