Colac Otway Shire
Components of population change
The greatest population change for Colac Otway Shire is forecast for the period from 2037 to 2041, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,361 people.
There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.
Components of population change | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colac Otway Shire | Forecast period | ||||||
Component | 2012 to 2016 | 2017 to 2021 | 2022 to 2026 | 2027 to 2031 | 2032 to 2036 | 2037 to 2041 | |
Births | -- | -- | 1,279 | 1,307 | 1,351 | 1,420 | 1,506 |
Deaths | -- | -- | 894 | 1,012 | 1,150 | 1,291 | 1,420 |
Natural increase/decrease | -- | -- | 386 | 295 | 201 | 128 | 86 |
Net migration | -- | -- | 284 | 666 | 877 | 1,082 | 1,237 |
Change in persons in non-private dwellings | -- | -- | 37 | 19 | 46 | 12 | 39 |
Total population change | -- | 707 | 979 | 1,124 | 1,222 | 1,362 |
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (opens a new window), the population experts, October 2018.