Colac Otway ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Colac Otway Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Colac Otway Shire is forecast for the period from 2037 to 2041, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,361 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Colac Otway ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,2791,3071,3511,4201,506
Deaths--8941,0121,1501,2911,420
Natural increase/decrease--38629520112886
Net migration--2846668771,0821,237
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--3719461239

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 275 2040 forecast population change: 265 2039 forecast population change: 267 2038 forecast population change: 271 2037 forecast population change: 284 2036 forecast population change: 249 2035 forecast population change: 251 2034 forecast population change: 237 2033 forecast population change: 251 2032 forecast population change: 235 2031 forecast population change: 229 2030 forecast population change: 221 2029 forecast population change: 206 2028 forecast population change: 208 2027 forecast population change: 259 2026 forecast population change: 201 2025 forecast population change: 192 2024 forecast population change: 183 2023 forecast population change: 201 2022 forecast population change: 202 2021 forecast population change: 213 2020 forecast population change: 171 2019 forecast population change: 122 2018 forecast population change: 89 2017 forecast population change: 113
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 16 2040 Natural increase: 16 2039 Natural increase: 17 2038 Natural increase: 18 2037 Natural increase: 19 2036 Natural increase: 22 2035 Natural increase: 23 2034 Natural increase: 25 2033 Natural increase: 28 2032 Natural increase: 31 2031 Natural increase: 33 2030 Natural increase: 36 2029 Natural increase: 40 2028 Natural increase: 44 2027 Natural increase: 47 2026 Natural increase: 51 2025 Natural increase: 55 2024 Natural increase: 59 2023 Natural increase: 63 2022 Natural increase: 67 2021 Natural increase: 70 2020 Natural increase: 74 2019 Natural increase: 78 2018 Natural increase: 82 2017 Natural increase: 82 2041 Total deaths: 293 2040 Total deaths: 289 2039 Total deaths: 284 2038 Total deaths: 280 2037 Total deaths: 274 2036 Total deaths: 269 2035 Total deaths: 264 2034 Total deaths: 259 2033 Total deaths: 253 2032 Total deaths: 247 2031 Total deaths: 242 2030 Total deaths: 236 2029 Total deaths: 230 2028 Total deaths: 224 2027 Total deaths: 219 2026 Total deaths: 213 2025 Total deaths: 208 2024 Total deaths: 202 2023 Total deaths: 197 2022 Total deaths: 192 2021 Total deaths: 187 2020 Total deaths: 182 2019 Total deaths: 178 2018 Total deaths: 174 2017 Total deaths: 173 2041 Total births: 309 2040 Total births: 305 2039 Total births: 301 2038 Total births: 297 2037 Total births: 294 2036 Total births: 290 2035 Total births: 287 2034 Total births: 284 2033 Total births: 281 2032 Total births: 278 2031 Total births: 275 2030 Total births: 272 2029 Total births: 270 2028 Total births: 268 2027 Total births: 266 2026 Total births: 264 2025 Total births: 262 2024 Total births: 261 2023 Total births: 260 2022 Total births: 259 2021 Total births: 258 2020 Total births: 256 2019 Total births: 255 2018 Total births: 256 2017 Total births: 255 2041 Natural increase: 16 2040 Natural increase: 16 2039 Natural increase: 17 2038 Natural increase: 18 2037 Natural increase: 19 2036 Natural increase: 22 2035 Natural increase: 23 2034 Natural increase: 25 2033 Natural increase: 28 2032 Natural increase: 31 2031 Natural increase: 33 2030 Natural increase: 36 2029 Natural increase: 40 2028 Natural increase: 44 2027 Natural increase: 47 2026 Natural increase: 51 2025 Natural increase: 55 2024 Natural increase: 59 2023 Natural increase: 63 2022 Natural increase: 67 2021 Natural increase: 70 2020 Natural increase: 74 2019 Natural increase: 78 2018 Natural increase: 82 2017 Natural increase: 82 2041 Total deaths: 293 2040 Total deaths: 289 2039 Total deaths: 284 2038 Total deaths: 280 2037 Total deaths: 274 2036 Total deaths: 269 2035 Total deaths: 264 2034 Total deaths: 259 2033 Total deaths: 253 2032 Total deaths: 247 2031 Total deaths: 242 2030 Total deaths: 236 2029 Total deaths: 230 2028 Total deaths: 224 2027 Total deaths: 219 2026 Total deaths: 213 2025 Total deaths: 208 2024 Total deaths: 202 2023 Total deaths: 197 2022 Total deaths: 192 2021 Total deaths: 187 2020 Total deaths: 182 2019 Total deaths: 178 2018 Total deaths: 174 2017 Total deaths: 173 2041 Total births: 309 2040 Total births: 305 2039 Total births: 301 2038 Total births: 297 2037 Total births: 294 2036 Total births: 290 2035 Total births: 287 2034 Total births: 284 2033 Total births: 281 2032 Total births: 278 2031 Total births: 275 2030 Total births: 272 2029 Total births: 270 2028 Total births: 268 2027 Total births: 266 2026 Total births: 264 2025 Total births: 262 2024 Total births: 261 2023 Total births: 260 2022 Total births: 259 2021 Total births: 258 2020 Total births: 256 2019 Total births: 255 2018 Total births: 256 2017 Total births: 255
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 241 2040 Total net migration: 249 2039 Total net migration: 250 2038 Total net migration: 253 2037 Total net migration: 245 2036 Total net migration: 227 2035 Total net migration: 228 2034 Total net migration: 211 2033 Total net migration: 223 2032 Total net migration: 193 2031 Total net migration: 196 2030 Total net migration: 185 2029 Total net migration: 166 2028 Total net migration: 164 2027 Total net migration: 166 2026 Total net migration: 151 2025 Total net migration: 138 2024 Total net migration: 124 2023 Total net migration: 138 2022 Total net migration: 116 2021 Total net migration: 106 2020 Total net migration: 96 2019 Total net migration: 44 2018 Total net migration: 7 2017 Total net migration: 31 2041 Total out migration: 2,268 2040 Total out migration: 2,245 2039 Total out migration: 2,223 2038 Total out migration: 2,199 2037 Total out migration: 2,177 2036 Total out migration: 2,157 2035 Total out migration: 2,134 2034 Total out migration: 2,115 2033 Total out migration: 2,093 2032 Total out migration: 2,072 2031 Total out migration: 2,052 2030 Total out migration: 2,030 2029 Total out migration: 2,011 2028 Total out migration: 1,992 2027 Total out migration: 1,973 2026 Total out migration: 1,956 2025 Total out migration: 1,940 2024 Total out migration: 1,927 2023 Total out migration: 1,915 2022 Total out migration: 1,900 2021 Total out migration: 1,886 2020 Total out migration: 1,873 2019 Total out migration: 1,864 2018 Total out migration: 1,863 2017 Total out migration: 1,885 2041 Total in migration: 2,509 2040 Total in migration: 2,494 2039 Total in migration: 2,473 2038 Total in migration: 2,452 2037 Total in migration: 2,422 2036 Total in migration: 2,384 2035 Total in migration: 2,361 2034 Total in migration: 2,326 2033 Total in migration: 2,316 2032 Total in migration: 2,265 2031 Total in migration: 2,248 2030 Total in migration: 2,215 2029 Total in migration: 2,177 2028 Total in migration: 2,156 2027 Total in migration: 2,139 2026 Total in migration: 2,106 2025 Total in migration: 2,077 2024 Total in migration: 2,051 2023 Total in migration: 2,053 2022 Total in migration: 2,016 2021 Total in migration: 1,992 2020 Total in migration: 1,969 2019 Total in migration: 1,909 2018 Total in migration: 1,870 2017 Total in migration: 1,916 2041 Total net migration: 241 2040 Total net migration: 249 2039 Total net migration: 250 2038 Total net migration: 253 2037 Total net migration: 245 2036 Total net migration: 227 2035 Total net migration: 228 2034 Total net migration: 211 2033 Total net migration: 223 2032 Total net migration: 193 2031 Total net migration: 196 2030 Total net migration: 185 2029 Total net migration: 166 2028 Total net migration: 164 2027 Total net migration: 166 2026 Total net migration: 151 2025 Total net migration: 138 2024 Total net migration: 124 2023 Total net migration: 138 2022 Total net migration: 116 2021 Total net migration: 106 2020 Total net migration: 96 2019 Total net migration: 44 2018 Total net migration: 7 2017 Total net migration: 31 2041 Total out migration: 2,268 2040 Total out migration: 2,245 2039 Total out migration: 2,223 2038 Total out migration: 2,199 2037 Total out migration: 2,177 2036 Total out migration: 2,157 2035 Total out migration: 2,134 2034 Total out migration: 2,115 2033 Total out migration: 2,093 2032 Total out migration: 2,072 2031 Total out migration: 2,052 2030 Total out migration: 2,030 2029 Total out migration: 2,011 2028 Total out migration: 1,992 2027 Total out migration: 1,973 2026 Total out migration: 1,956 2025 Total out migration: 1,940 2024 Total out migration: 1,927 2023 Total out migration: 1,915 2022 Total out migration: 1,900 2021 Total out migration: 1,886 2020 Total out migration: 1,873 2019 Total out migration: 1,864 2018 Total out migration: 1,863 2017 Total out migration: 1,885 2041 Total in migration: 2,509 2040 Total in migration: 2,494 2039 Total in migration: 2,473 2038 Total in migration: 2,452 2037 Total in migration: 2,422 2036 Total in migration: 2,384 2035 Total in migration: 2,361 2034 Total in migration: 2,326 2033 Total in migration: 2,316 2032 Total in migration: 2,265 2031 Total in migration: 2,248 2030 Total in migration: 2,215 2029 Total in migration: 2,177 2028 Total in migration: 2,156 2027 Total in migration: 2,139 2026 Total in migration: 2,106 2025 Total in migration: 2,077 2024 Total in migration: 2,051 2023 Total in migration: 2,053 2022 Total in migration: 2,016 2021 Total in migration: 1,992 2020 Total in migration: 1,969 2019 Total in migration: 1,909 2018 Total in migration: 1,870 2017 Total in migration: 1,916
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
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