Colac Otway ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Colac Otway Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Colac Otway Shire is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,754 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Colac Otway ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,3181,3991,4571,5231,600
Deaths--9191,0801,2461,4031,533
Natural increase/decrease--39831921212067
Net migration--1,3201,2071,1701,1891,297
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--3719461239

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 290 2040 forecast population change: 275 2039 forecast population change: 270 2038 forecast population change: 278 2037 forecast population change: 289 2036 forecast population change: 255 2035 forecast population change: 260 2034 forecast population change: 254 2033 forecast population change: 280 2032 forecast population change: 272 2031 forecast population change: 269 2030 forecast population change: 272 2029 forecast population change: 267 2028 forecast population change: 278 2027 forecast population change: 341 2026 forecast population change: 299 2025 forecast population change: 301 2024 forecast population change: 298 2023 forecast population change: 311 2022 forecast population change: 336 2021 forecast population change: 385 2020 forecast population change: 369 2019 forecast population change: 325 2018 forecast population change: 315 2017 forecast population change: 360
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 11 2040 Natural increase: 12 2039 Natural increase: 13 2038 Natural increase: 14 2037 Natural increase: 16 2036 Natural increase: 19 2035 Natural increase: 21 2034 Natural increase: 24 2033 Natural increase: 27 2032 Natural increase: 30 2031 Natural increase: 34 2030 Natural increase: 38 2029 Natural increase: 42 2028 Natural increase: 47 2027 Natural increase: 51 2026 Natural increase: 55 2025 Natural increase: 59 2024 Natural increase: 64 2023 Natural increase: 68 2022 Natural increase: 72 2021 Natural increase: 75 2020 Natural increase: 78 2019 Natural increase: 81 2018 Natural increase: 83 2017 Natural increase: 82 2041 Total deaths: 316 2040 Total deaths: 311 2039 Total deaths: 307 2038 Total deaths: 302 2037 Total deaths: 297 2036 Total deaths: 292 2035 Total deaths: 287 2034 Total deaths: 281 2033 Total deaths: 275 2032 Total deaths: 269 2031 Total deaths: 263 2030 Total deaths: 256 2029 Total deaths: 249 2028 Total deaths: 242 2027 Total deaths: 236 2026 Total deaths: 229 2025 Total deaths: 223 2024 Total deaths: 216 2023 Total deaths: 210 2022 Total deaths: 203 2021 Total deaths: 197 2020 Total deaths: 189 2019 Total deaths: 183 2018 Total deaths: 177 2017 Total deaths: 173 2041 Total births: 327 2040 Total births: 323 2039 Total births: 320 2038 Total births: 317 2037 Total births: 313 2036 Total births: 310 2035 Total births: 307 2034 Total births: 305 2033 Total births: 302 2032 Total births: 299 2031 Total births: 296 2030 Total births: 294 2029 Total births: 291 2028 Total births: 289 2027 Total births: 287 2026 Total births: 284 2025 Total births: 282 2024 Total births: 280 2023 Total births: 278 2022 Total births: 275 2021 Total births: 272 2020 Total births: 267 2019 Total births: 264 2018 Total births: 260 2017 Total births: 255 2041 Natural increase: 11 2040 Natural increase: 12 2039 Natural increase: 13 2038 Natural increase: 14 2037 Natural increase: 16 2036 Natural increase: 19 2035 Natural increase: 21 2034 Natural increase: 24 2033 Natural increase: 27 2032 Natural increase: 30 2031 Natural increase: 34 2030 Natural increase: 38 2029 Natural increase: 42 2028 Natural increase: 47 2027 Natural increase: 51 2026 Natural increase: 55 2025 Natural increase: 59 2024 Natural increase: 64 2023 Natural increase: 68 2022 Natural increase: 72 2021 Natural increase: 75 2020 Natural increase: 78 2019 Natural increase: 81 2018 Natural increase: 83 2017 Natural increase: 82 2041 Total deaths: 316 2040 Total deaths: 311 2039 Total deaths: 307 2038 Total deaths: 302 2037 Total deaths: 297 2036 Total deaths: 292 2035 Total deaths: 287 2034 Total deaths: 281 2033 Total deaths: 275 2032 Total deaths: 269 2031 Total deaths: 263 2030 Total deaths: 256 2029 Total deaths: 249 2028 Total deaths: 242 2027 Total deaths: 236 2026 Total deaths: 229 2025 Total deaths: 223 2024 Total deaths: 216 2023 Total deaths: 210 2022 Total deaths: 203 2021 Total deaths: 197 2020 Total deaths: 189 2019 Total deaths: 183 2018 Total deaths: 177 2017 Total deaths: 173 2041 Total births: 327 2040 Total births: 323 2039 Total births: 320 2038 Total births: 317 2037 Total births: 313 2036 Total births: 310 2035 Total births: 307 2034 Total births: 305 2033 Total births: 302 2032 Total births: 299 2031 Total births: 296 2030 Total births: 294 2029 Total births: 291 2028 Total births: 289 2027 Total births: 287 2026 Total births: 284 2025 Total births: 282 2024 Total births: 280 2023 Total births: 278 2022 Total births: 275 2021 Total births: 272 2020 Total births: 267 2019 Total births: 264 2018 Total births: 260 2017 Total births: 255
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 260 2040 Total net migration: 263 2039 Total net migration: 257 2038 Total net migration: 264 2037 Total net migration: 253 2036 Total net migration: 236 2035 Total net migration: 239 2034 Total net migration: 231 2033 Total net migration: 253 2032 Total net migration: 230 2031 Total net migration: 235 2030 Total net migration: 234 2029 Total net migration: 225 2028 Total net migration: 231 2027 Total net migration: 244 2026 Total net migration: 244 2025 Total net migration: 241 2024 Total net migration: 234 2023 Total net migration: 243 2022 Total net migration: 245 2021 Total net migration: 273 2020 Total net migration: 291 2019 Total net migration: 245 2018 Total net migration: 232 2017 Total net migration: 279 2041 Total out migration: 2,422 2040 Total out migration: 2,399 2039 Total out migration: 2,377 2038 Total out migration: 2,354 2037 Total out migration: 2,332 2036 Total out migration: 2,312 2035 Total out migration: 2,290 2034 Total out migration: 2,271 2033 Total out migration: 2,248 2032 Total out migration: 2,225 2031 Total out migration: 2,204 2030 Total out migration: 2,179 2029 Total out migration: 2,156 2028 Total out migration: 2,133 2027 Total out migration: 2,109 2026 Total out migration: 2,085 2025 Total out migration: 2,062 2024 Total out migration: 2,041 2023 Total out migration: 2,021 2022 Total out migration: 1,996 2021 Total out migration: 1,968 2020 Total out migration: 1,938 2019 Total out migration: 1,911 2018 Total out migration: 1,888 2017 Total out migration: 1,885 2041 Total in migration: 2,682 2040 Total in migration: 2,662 2039 Total in migration: 2,634 2038 Total in migration: 2,618 2037 Total in migration: 2,585 2036 Total in migration: 2,549 2035 Total in migration: 2,529 2034 Total in migration: 2,502 2033 Total in migration: 2,501 2032 Total in migration: 2,455 2031 Total in migration: 2,439 2030 Total in migration: 2,413 2029 Total in migration: 2,381 2028 Total in migration: 2,364 2027 Total in migration: 2,353 2026 Total in migration: 2,329 2025 Total in migration: 2,303 2024 Total in migration: 2,274 2023 Total in migration: 2,264 2022 Total in migration: 2,241 2021 Total in migration: 2,241 2020 Total in migration: 2,229 2019 Total in migration: 2,156 2018 Total in migration: 2,119 2017 Total in migration: 2,164 2041 Total net migration: 260 2040 Total net migration: 263 2039 Total net migration: 257 2038 Total net migration: 264 2037 Total net migration: 253 2036 Total net migration: 236 2035 Total net migration: 239 2034 Total net migration: 231 2033 Total net migration: 253 2032 Total net migration: 230 2031 Total net migration: 235 2030 Total net migration: 234 2029 Total net migration: 225 2028 Total net migration: 231 2027 Total net migration: 244 2026 Total net migration: 244 2025 Total net migration: 241 2024 Total net migration: 234 2023 Total net migration: 243 2022 Total net migration: 245 2021 Total net migration: 273 2020 Total net migration: 291 2019 Total net migration: 245 2018 Total net migration: 232 2017 Total net migration: 279 2041 Total out migration: 2,422 2040 Total out migration: 2,399 2039 Total out migration: 2,377 2038 Total out migration: 2,354 2037 Total out migration: 2,332 2036 Total out migration: 2,312 2035 Total out migration: 2,290 2034 Total out migration: 2,271 2033 Total out migration: 2,248 2032 Total out migration: 2,225 2031 Total out migration: 2,204 2030 Total out migration: 2,179 2029 Total out migration: 2,156 2028 Total out migration: 2,133 2027 Total out migration: 2,109 2026 Total out migration: 2,085 2025 Total out migration: 2,062 2024 Total out migration: 2,041 2023 Total out migration: 2,021 2022 Total out migration: 1,996 2021 Total out migration: 1,968 2020 Total out migration: 1,938 2019 Total out migration: 1,911 2018 Total out migration: 1,888 2017 Total out migration: 1,885 2041 Total in migration: 2,682 2040 Total in migration: 2,662 2039 Total in migration: 2,634 2038 Total in migration: 2,618 2037 Total in migration: 2,585 2036 Total in migration: 2,549 2035 Total in migration: 2,529 2034 Total in migration: 2,502 2033 Total in migration: 2,501 2032 Total in migration: 2,455 2031 Total in migration: 2,439 2030 Total in migration: 2,413 2029 Total in migration: 2,381 2028 Total in migration: 2,364 2027 Total in migration: 2,353 2026 Total in migration: 2,329 2025 Total in migration: 2,303 2024 Total in migration: 2,274 2023 Total in migration: 2,264 2022 Total in migration: 2,241 2021 Total in migration: 2,241 2020 Total in migration: 2,229 2019 Total in migration: 2,156 2018 Total in migration: 2,119 2017 Total in migration: 2,164
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
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