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Coffs Harbour City CouncilPopulation forecast

Coffs Harbour (North East)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Coffs Harbour (North East) indicate a 31.9% increase in population under working age, a 39.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Coffs Harbour (North East) is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Coffs Harbour (North East) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43336.03806.03705.4+37
5 to 92684.83545.63415.0+73
10 to 142234.03535.63765.5+153
15 to 192825.13956.24386.5+156
20 to 244367.93585.74196.2-17
25 to 294097.42774.43124.6-97
30 to 343265.92814.52523.7-74
35 to 392594.73505.53164.7+57
40 to 443215.83665.83635.3+42
45 to 493255.93325.23815.6+56
50 to 543877.03916.24216.2+34
55 to 594037.34036.44186.2+15
60 to 644097.44457.04576.7+48
65 to 694087.34697.44837.1+75
70 to 742965.34417.04867.2+190
75 to 792204.03555.64216.2+201
80 to 841422.62153.43144.6+172
85 and over1061.91592.52203.2+114
Total persons5,553100.06,324100.06,789100.0+1,236
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Coffs Harbour (North East) was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 145 and account for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 469 persons.

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