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City of Coffs HarbourPopulation forecast

Toormina

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Toormina indicate a 24.3% increase in population under working age, a 14.4% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 16.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Coffs Harbour is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Toormina - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43064.94847.14936.9+187
5 to 93605.84736.94956.9+135
10 to 144457.14246.24906.8+45
15 to 193285.33865.74336.0+105
20 to 243235.24025.94065.7+83
25 to 293635.84446.54596.4+96
30 to 343345.44536.64706.6+137
35 to 393275.24346.44566.4+129
40 to 443235.24276.34686.5+145
45 to 494006.44366.44846.7+84
50 to 543265.23675.44195.8+93
55 to 593455.53575.23785.3+33
60 to 643936.33244.73504.9-43
65 to 693615.83094.53194.4-42
70 to 743385.43274.82924.1-46
75 to 793125.02914.32713.8-40
80 to 842574.12453.62513.5-6
85 and over3876.22443.62403.3-148
Total persons6,228100.06,827100.07,175100.0+946
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Toormina was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 178 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 484 persons.

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