City of CockburnPopulation forecast
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Spearwood

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Spearwood will increase by an average of 51 dwellings per annum to 5,878 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Cockburn. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017-21 dwelling additions are based on building approvals and an analysis of building rates. Beyond 2021, demand and capacity analysis are used to produce medium and long-term development rates for each small area.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 5,878 2040 Total dwellings: 5,826 2039 Total dwellings: 5,775 2038 Total dwellings: 5,724 2037 Total dwellings: 5,672 2036 Total dwellings: 5,622 2035 Total dwellings: 5,579 2034 Total dwellings: 5,536 2033 Total dwellings: 5,493 2032 Total dwellings: 5,451 2031 Total dwellings: 5,411 2030 Total dwellings: 5,373 2029 Total dwellings: 5,335 2028 Total dwellings: 5,298 2027 Total dwellings: 5,260 2026 Total dwellings: 5,225 2025 Total dwellings: 5,190 2024 Total dwellings: 5,156 2023 Total dwellings: 5,118 2022 Total dwellings: 5,079 2021 Total dwellings: 5,041 2020 Total dwellings: 5,002 2019 Total dwellings: 4,949 2018 Total dwellings: 4,871 2017 Total dwellings: 4,759 2041 Total dwellings: 5,878 2040 Total dwellings: 5,826 2039 Total dwellings: 5,775 2038 Total dwellings: 5,724 2037 Total dwellings: 5,672 2036 Total dwellings: 5,622 2035 Total dwellings: 5,579 2034 Total dwellings: 5,536 2033 Total dwellings: 5,493 2032 Total dwellings: 5,451 2031 Total dwellings: 5,411 2030 Total dwellings: 5,373 2029 Total dwellings: 5,335 2028 Total dwellings: 5,298 2027 Total dwellings: 5,260 2026 Total dwellings: 5,225 2025 Total dwellings: 5,190 2024 Total dwellings: 5,156 2023 Total dwellings: 5,118 2022 Total dwellings: 5,079 2021 Total dwellings: 5,041 2020 Total dwellings: 5,002 2019 Total dwellings: 4,949 2018 Total dwellings: 4,871 2017 Total dwellings: 4,759 2041 Forecast development: 52 2040 Forecast development: 51 2039 Forecast development: 51 2038 Forecast development: 52 2037 Forecast development: 50 2036 Forecast development: 43 2035 Forecast development: 43 2034 Forecast development: 43 2033 Forecast development: 42 2032 Forecast development: 40 2031 Forecast development: 38 2030 Forecast development: 38 2029 Forecast development: 37 2028 Forecast development: 38 2027 Forecast development: 35 2026 Forecast development: 35 2025 Forecast development: 34 2024 Forecast development: 38 2023 Forecast development: 39 2022 Forecast development: 38 2021 Forecast development: 39 2020 Forecast development: 53 2019 Forecast development: 78 2018 Forecast development: 112 2017 Forecast development: 152
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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