City of CockburnPopulation forecast
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Spearwood

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Spearwood indicate a 30.6% increase in population under working age, a 26.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 17.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Cockburn is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Spearwood - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46426.18236.48686.3+225
5 to 95475.27265.77625.5+215
10 to 144814.56324.96664.8+185
15 to 195405.16244.96784.9+138
20 to 246756.47746.08416.1+166
25 to 298478.09207.29847.1+137
30 to 347527.19247.29787.1+226
35 to 397046.78927.09396.8+235
40 to 447547.18786.89206.6+166
45 to 496836.58286.58846.4+201
50 to 546095.87676.08346.0+225
55 to 596886.57465.87925.7+104
60 to 645895.66775.37345.3+145
65 to 696055.75914.66714.8+67
70 to 744694.45824.56154.4+147
75 to 793803.64803.75403.9+160
80 to 842982.84483.55053.6+208
85 and over3213.05174.06384.6+317
Total persons10,584100.012,828100.013,849100.0+3,265

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 638 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 505 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 540 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 615 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 671 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 734 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 792 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 834 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 884 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 920 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 939 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 978 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 984 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 841 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 678 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 666 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 762 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 868 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 517 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 448 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 480 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 582 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 591 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 677 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 746 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 767 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 828 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 878 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 892 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 924 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 920 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 774 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 624 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 632 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 726 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 823 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 321 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 298 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 380 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 469 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 605 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 589 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 688 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 609 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 683 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 754 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 704 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 752 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 847 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 675 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 540 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 481 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 547 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 642
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 121 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 57 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 60 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 34 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 80 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 56 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 46 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 67 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 56 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 42 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 47 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 55 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 64 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 66 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 54 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 34 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 36 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 45 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 196 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 150 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 100 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 113 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: -14 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 88 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 58 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 158 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 145 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 124 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 187 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 172 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 72 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 99 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 84 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 151 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 179 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 181
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Spearwood was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 196 and account for 4.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 924 persons.

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