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City of CockburnPopulation forecast

City of Cockburn

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for City of Cockburn indicate a 19.6% increase in females under working age, a 47.9% increase in females of retirement age, and a 21.0% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Cockburn is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Cockburn - Total females202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43,9596.44,7486.25,5055.9+1,546
5 to 94,0296.54,8046.35,3325.7+1,303
10 to 143,6565.94,3715.74,7825.1+1,126
15 to 193,3075.44,3275.64,6104.9+1,303
20 to 243,9466.44,7806.25,2705.6+1,324
25 to 294,3997.15,0926.66,0496.4+1,650
30 to 345,2388.55,6577.46,9977.5+1,759
35 to 395,0948.35,8237.67,3397.8+2,245
40 to 444,4927.35,9557.86,8407.3+2,348
45 to 494,1796.85,4927.26,2036.6+2,024
50 to 543,9676.44,6846.15,8596.2+1,892
55 to 593,6045.94,3915.75,9106.3+2,306
60 to 643,2105.23,9395.15,4415.8+2,231
65 to 692,6754.33,4194.54,2694.5+1,594
70 to 742,2213.63,1614.13,9204.2+1,699
75 to 791,4272.32,5803.43,5723.8+2,145
80 to 841,0821.81,8682.42,7793.0+1,697
85 and over1,1101.81,5632.03,2333.4+2,123
Total persons61,595100.076,655100.093,909100.0+32,314
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in City of Cockburn was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 8.5% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 1,463 and account for 7.8% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 5,955 females.

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