City of CockburnPopulation forecast
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South Lake - Cockburn Central

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in South Lake - Cockburn Central is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Cockburn depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Expectations that population will grow through increasing migration over the forecast period as development continues in and around Cockburn Central
  • Gains in most age groups with particularly strong growth in young adults (18-29 years) attracted to the higher density housing opportunities, rental accomodation and the area's transport links to emplyment and educational opportunities
  • Loss of young families as couples move to housing suitable for families elsewhere (potentially in neighbouring growth areas), triggered by the birth of a first child, or the requirement for a larger house on the birth of a further child
  • Little net change through migration in older age groups (55+ years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -15 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 2 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 1 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -28 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -59 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -46 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 3 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 9 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 65 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 46 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -65 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -83 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 202 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 515 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 348 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 115 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -59 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -251 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -1 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -1 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -29 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -52 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -48 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 6 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 77 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 78 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 3 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 38 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 317 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 522 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 322 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 115 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -24 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -162 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -4 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -31 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -58 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -58 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -35 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -25 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 7 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 4 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -56 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -71 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 104 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 287 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 175 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 41 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -56 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -173 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -15 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 2 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 1 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -28 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -59 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -46 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 3 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 9 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 65 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 46 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -65 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -83 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 202 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 515 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 348 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 115 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -59 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -251 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -1 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -1 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -29 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -52 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -48 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 6 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 77 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 78 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 3 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 38 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 317 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 522 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 322 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 115 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -24 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -162 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -4 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -31 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -58 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -58 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -35 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -25 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 7 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 4 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -56 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -71 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 104 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 287 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 175 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 41 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -56 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -173
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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