City of CockburnPopulation forecast
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Atwell

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Atwell is 30-34 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Cockburn depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Net loss in many age groups as the area matures, with little development expected over the period; the area has only recently completed its development phase, and most residential opportunities have been exhausted, with some townhousing and medium density developments ongoing
  • Attraction of young families (0-9 and 25-34 years) with the continued appeal of the area to this market, falling in later years as the medium density opportunties are exhausted to a net loss in some child age groups
  • Loss of older families (10-19 and 45-54 years), upgrading to larger family housing elsewhere
  • Loss in the empty nester and retiree age groups (50+ years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -9 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -17 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -1 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -38 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -59 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -59 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -139 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -126 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -99 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 23 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 38 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 116 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 36 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -211 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -81 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 10 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 59 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 19 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 3 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -11 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -35 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -46 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -43 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -113 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -150 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -119 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -2 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 18 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 110 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 36 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -230 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -103 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -9 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 50 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 11 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 12 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -3 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 9 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -33 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -39 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -19 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -83 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -111 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -145 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -14 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 8 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 129 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 124 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -166 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -92 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 47 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 33 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -9 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -17 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -1 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -38 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -59 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -59 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -139 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -126 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -99 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 23 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 38 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 116 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 36 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -211 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -81 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 10 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 59 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 19 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 3 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -11 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -35 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -46 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -43 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -113 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -150 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -119 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -2 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 18 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 110 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 36 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -230 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -103 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -9 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 50 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 11 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 12 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -3 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 9 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -33 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -39 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -19 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -83 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -111 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -145 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -14 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 8 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 129 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 124 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -166 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -92 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 47 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 33
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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