City of CockburnPopulation forecast
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City of Cockburn

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Cockburn is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Cockburn depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Large attraction of young adults (18-34 years) attracted to apartments around Cockburn Central and housing opportunities close to Murdoch University
  • Gain of families (0-14 and 20-34 years) as residential development continues in greenfield sites in the short term. This falls in the later period to a small net loss in some child age groups as development opportunities in these areas are exhausted
  • Small attraction of older adults and empty nesters and retirees (45-54 years), principally to sites such as Port Coogee and, in later periods, the Cockburn Coastal Strategy Area. There is a drop in this age group in later years, principally because of ageing in recently developed suburbs such as Atwell and Success, with people in these areas down-sizing or moving elsewhere for lifestyle reasons
  • Slight net loss in older age groups (60+ years) in the later part of the forecast, again through the ageing of the population in recently developed areas, as people move into aged care accommodation or downsize to dwellings elsewhere
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 83 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -99 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -136 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -205 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -356 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -247 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -220 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 99 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 315 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 216 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 275 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 1,153 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 2,355 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 2,157 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 1,086 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -108 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -227 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -92 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 103 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -26 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -83 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -158 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -276 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -77 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 109 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 412 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 335 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 367 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,289 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 2,402 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,173 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,140 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 6 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -97 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 51 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 106 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -3 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -1 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -105 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -207 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -123 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -31 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 198 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 322 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 499 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 529 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,186 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2,217 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,908 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,098 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 194 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 136 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 224 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 83 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -99 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -136 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -205 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -356 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -247 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -220 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 99 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 315 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 216 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 275 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 1,153 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 2,355 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 2,157 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 1,086 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -108 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -227 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -92 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 103 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -26 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -83 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -158 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -276 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -77 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 109 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 412 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 335 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 367 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,289 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 2,402 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,173 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,140 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 6 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -97 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 51 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 106 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -3 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -1 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -105 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -207 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -123 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -31 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 198 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 322 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 499 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 529 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,186 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2,217 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,908 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,098 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 194 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 136 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 224
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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