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Clarence Valley CouncilPopulation forecast

Impact of COVID-19 on population growth

COVID-19 is a significant health crisis which has resulted in major social and economic disruption across the world. In Australia, the closure of borders (both external and internal) will have impacts on the size and distribution of future population growth. At a local level, the impacts on population growth and demographics outcomes will be felt differently.

.id developed population forecasts for Clarence Valley Council in [ReleaseMonth] [ReleaseYear]. These forecasts do not consider potential impacts to assumptions stemming from COVID-19. They do, however, provide a baseline by which to understand where the population may have been without this external shock.

In order to further understand how COVID-19 may impact population growth within Clarence Valley Council, we have developed a COVID-19 impact assessment. This assessment is based upon our understanding of typologies (i.e. the characteristics, roles and functions of communities). It demonstrates how these influences may play out across a range of variables, at a localised level. These include:

  • Migration - who will move into an area as well as who is leaving the area.
  • Natural increase - impacts on the forecast numbers of births or deaths.
  • Economic resilience - availability of jobs.
  • Resident vulnerability - unmet social and economic needs.
  • Local amenity - factors that make an area a more enjoyable place to live.
The assessment draws on data from across our .id tools: forecast.id, profile.id, atlas.id and economy.id (including the COVID-19 economic forecasts developed and recently updated by NIEIR). We will continue to refine and update this impact assessment as more information becomes available.

[Typology_Impact]

Potential impacts on [Typology_Title]

Based on our understanding of the characteristics of [Typology_Title], we consider the following to be likely impacts on population growth. These insights are not necessarily specific to the Clarence Valley Council, but reflect challenges and opportunities for this type of place.


Overseas migration
[Typology_Box_1]
Internal migration
[Typology_Box_2]
Natural increase
[Typology_Box_3]

Economic resilience
[Typology_Box_4]
Resident vulnerability
[Typology_Box_5]
Local amenity
[Typology_Box_6]

[Typology_Box_Note]

Clarence Valley Council

Migration

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Net migration explains who will move into an area as well as who is leaving the area. It is therefore an excellent way of understanding housing markets and how the role and function of an area may be affected by COVID-19. Changes to migration may disproportionately affect industries such as the education sector due to their reliance on overseas migration.

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