Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Umina Beach - Pearl Beach - Patonga

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Umina Beach - Pearl Beach - Patonga will increase by an average of 26 dwellings per annum to 9,092 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Central Coast Council area. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for the period 2011 to 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • No major sites identified
  • High level of infill (21-70 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 9,092 2035 Total dwellings: 9,068 2034 Total dwellings: 9,044 2033 Total dwellings: 9,020 2032 Total dwellings: 8,996 2031 Total dwellings: 8,972 2030 Total dwellings: 8,948 2029 Total dwellings: 8,924 2028 Total dwellings: 8,900 2027 Total dwellings: 8,876 2026 Total dwellings: 8,852 2025 Total dwellings: 8,828 2024 Total dwellings: 8,803 2023 Total dwellings: 8,778 2022 Total dwellings: 8,752 2021 Total dwellings: 8,724 2020 Total dwellings: 8,696 2019 Total dwellings: 8,668 2018 Total dwellings: 8,638 2017 Total dwellings: 8,603 2036 Total dwellings: 9,092 2035 Total dwellings: 9,068 2034 Total dwellings: 9,044 2033 Total dwellings: 9,020 2032 Total dwellings: 8,996 2031 Total dwellings: 8,972 2030 Total dwellings: 8,948 2029 Total dwellings: 8,924 2028 Total dwellings: 8,900 2027 Total dwellings: 8,876 2026 Total dwellings: 8,852 2025 Total dwellings: 8,828 2024 Total dwellings: 8,803 2023 Total dwellings: 8,778 2022 Total dwellings: 8,752 2021 Total dwellings: 8,724 2020 Total dwellings: 8,696 2019 Total dwellings: 8,668 2018 Total dwellings: 8,638 2017 Total dwellings: 8,603 2036 Forecast development: 24 2035 Forecast development: 24 2034 Forecast development: 24 2033 Forecast development: 24 2032 Forecast development: 24 2031 Forecast development: 24 2030 Forecast development: 24 2029 Forecast development: 24 2028 Forecast development: 24 2027 Forecast development: 24 2026 Forecast development: 24 2025 Forecast development: 25 2024 Forecast development: 25 2023 Forecast development: 26 2022 Forecast development: 28 2021 Forecast development: 28 2020 Forecast development: 28 2019 Forecast development: 30 2018 Forecast development: 35 2017 Forecast development: 40
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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