Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Narara - Niagara Park

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Narara - Niagara Park will increase by an average of 16 dwellings per annum to 4,353 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Central Coast Council area. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for the period 2011 to 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • Ridgeview Estate - 41 dwellings (2016-2019)
  • Narara Eco Village, 23 Research Road - 123 dwellings (2018-2027)
  • 41 Fountains Road - 18 dwellings (2019-2022)
  • Small sites - 17 dwellings
  • Low-moderate level of infill (6-19 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 4,353 2035 Total dwellings: 4,347 2034 Total dwellings: 4,341 2033 Total dwellings: 4,335 2032 Total dwellings: 4,329 2031 Total dwellings: 4,323 2030 Total dwellings: 4,317 2029 Total dwellings: 4,311 2028 Total dwellings: 4,305 2027 Total dwellings: 4,299 2026 Total dwellings: 4,290 2025 Total dwellings: 4,272 2024 Total dwellings: 4,249 2023 Total dwellings: 4,226 2022 Total dwellings: 4,203 2021 Total dwellings: 4,176 2020 Total dwellings: 4,148 2019 Total dwellings: 4,117 2018 Total dwellings: 4,085 2017 Total dwellings: 4,065 2036 Total dwellings: 4,353 2035 Total dwellings: 4,347 2034 Total dwellings: 4,341 2033 Total dwellings: 4,335 2032 Total dwellings: 4,329 2031 Total dwellings: 4,323 2030 Total dwellings: 4,317 2029 Total dwellings: 4,311 2028 Total dwellings: 4,305 2027 Total dwellings: 4,299 2026 Total dwellings: 4,290 2025 Total dwellings: 4,272 2024 Total dwellings: 4,249 2023 Total dwellings: 4,226 2022 Total dwellings: 4,203 2021 Total dwellings: 4,176 2020 Total dwellings: 4,148 2019 Total dwellings: 4,117 2018 Total dwellings: 4,085 2017 Total dwellings: 4,065 2036 Forecast development: 6 2035 Forecast development: 6 2034 Forecast development: 6 2033 Forecast development: 6 2032 Forecast development: 6 2031 Forecast development: 6 2030 Forecast development: 6 2029 Forecast development: 6 2028 Forecast development: 6 2027 Forecast development: 9 2026 Forecast development: 18 2025 Forecast development: 23 2024 Forecast development: 23 2023 Forecast development: 23 2022 Forecast development: 27 2021 Forecast development: 28 2020 Forecast development: 31 2019 Forecast development: 32 2018 Forecast development: 20 2017 Forecast development: 25
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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