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Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast

Warnervale - Wadalba District

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Warnervale - Wadalba District is forecast to grow from 6,797 in 2021 to 14,772 in 2036, with the average household size falling from 3.01 to 2.99 by 2036.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Central Coast NSW. The period 2021 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

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Forecast population, households and dwellings
Warnervale - Wadalba DistrictForecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population20,17728,70836,58642,403--
Change in population (5yrs)--8,5317,8785,816--
Average annual change--7.31%4.97%2.99%--
Households6,5469,36911,94714,005--
Average household size3.013.013.022.99--
Population in non private dwellings471471471471--
Dwellings6,7979,78912,54014,772--
Dwelling occupancy rate96.3195.7195.2794.81--
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Warnervale - Wadalba District was estimated to be 20,177 people. It is expected to increase by over 8,531 people to 28,708 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 7.31%. This is based on an increase of over 2,823 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 3.01 to 3.01 by 2026.

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