Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Narara - Niagara Park

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Narara - Niagara Park indicate a 3.8% decrease in population under working age, a 49.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.5% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Central Coast Council area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Narara - Niagara Park - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 7276.76645.96165.6-111
5 to 9 8027.47296.56706.1-131
10 to 14 7156.67666.87086.5-7
15 to 19 7096.57726.97096.50
20 to 24 6896.36315.66285.7-61
25 to 29 7546.96145.56015.5-153
30 to 34 7356.76505.86025.5-133
35 to 39 6986.47006.36375.8-60
40 to 44 7436.86856.16305.7-113
45 to 49 7807.26565.96295.7-152
50 to 54 7677.07216.46596.0-107
55 to 59 7526.97686.96726.1-79
60 to 64 6405.97416.66826.2+42
65 to 69 5835.36495.86536.0+70
70 to 74 3513.25264.76045.5+252
75 to 79 2162.04634.15284.8+313
80 to 84 1291.22682.44043.7+274
85 and over1131.01761.63313.0+218
Total persons10,902100.011,177100.010,963100.0+61

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 331 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 404 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 528 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 604 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 653 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 682 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 672 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 659 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 629 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 630 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 637 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 602 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 601 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 628 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 709 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 708 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 670 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 616 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 176 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 268 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 463 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 526 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 649 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 741 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 768 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 721 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 656 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 685 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 700 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 650 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 614 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 631 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 772 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 766 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 729 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 664 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 113 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 129 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 216 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 351 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 583 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 640 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 752 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 767 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 780 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 743 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 698 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 735 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 754 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 689 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 709 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 715 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 802 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 727
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 155 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 136 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 65 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 78 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -59 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -96 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -62 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -27 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -55 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -63 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -48 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -13 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -63 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -58 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -59 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -48 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 139 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 248 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 174 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 101 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -46 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -125 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -59 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -85 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -140 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -58 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 51 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -73 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -63
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Narara - Niagara Park was ages 5 to 9 , which accounted for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 248 and account for 4.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 772 persons.

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