Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Central Coast Council area

Births and deaths

In 2016 Lake Munmorah - Chain Valley Bay is forecast to have the highest fertility rate of 2.51 (births per woman), this is expected to decrease to 2.47 in 2036.

The number of births in the Central Coast Council area are derived by multiplying age specific fertility rates of women aged 15-49 by the female population in these age groups for all years during the forecast period.

Birth rates are especially influential in determining the number of children in an area, with most inner urban areas having relatively low birth rates, compared to outer suburban or rural and regional areas. Birth rates have been changing, with a greater share of women bearing children at older ages or not at all, with overall increases in fertility rates. This can have a large impact on the future population profile.

Forecast fertility rates (births per woman)
Central Coast Council areaYearChange between 2016 and 2036
Area20162036Number
Central Coast Council area2.112.13+0.02
Avoca Beach - Picketts Valley - Copacabana - MacMasters Beach2.102.08-0.03
Bateau Bay1.992.14+0.15
Berkeley Vale - Chittaway - Glenning Valley2.022.05+0.02
Blue Haven2.432.16-0.26
Budgewoi - Halekulani - Buff Point2.402.31-0.09
Charmhaven - Lake Haven2.442.37-0.07
East Gosford - Point Frederick1.982.03+0.05
Erina1.922.23+0.31
Ettalong Beach - Booker Bay2.472.45-0.01
Forresters Beach - Wamberal2.202.12-0.08
Gorokan2.282.34+0.05
Gosford - West Gosford1.601.73+0.13
Green Point1.491.67+0.18
Gwandalan - Summerland Point2.352.36+0.01
Hamlyn Terrace2.242.37+0.12
Holgate - Matcham - Erina Heights1.272.13+0.86
Kanwal - Wyongah2.312.05-0.26
Kariong2.112.48+0.37
Killarney Vale - Tumbi Umbi2.242.13-0.12
Kincumber1.952.02+0.07
Kincumber South - Bensville - Empire Bay - Killcare2.332.19-0.14
Lake Munmorah - Chain Valley Bay2.662.47-0.19
Lisarow - Mt Elliot2.152.18+0.03
Long Jetty - Shelly Beach - Toowoon Bay - Blue Bay2.472.22-0.25
Mannering Park1.932.03+0.10
Mountains1.451.90+0.45
Narara - Niagara Park2.071.94-0.13
Noraville - Norah Head1.962.07+0.11
North Gosford - Wyoming2.312.27-0.03
Ourimbah - Palmdale - Kangy Angy1.601.86+0.26
Point Clare - Tascott - Koolewong - Woy Woy Bay2.612.40-0.20
San Remo - Doyalson - Colongra1.832.02+0.19
Springfield2.162.14-0.02
Terrigal - North Avoca2.042.02-0.02
The Entrance - The Entrance North1.952.07+0.12
Toukley - Canton Beach2.402.25-0.15
Tuggerah - Mardi2.012.35+0.34
Tuggerawong - Tacoma - Rocky Point1.752.06+0.31
Umina Beach - Pearl Beach - Patonga2.092.17+0.08
Valleys2.262.14-0.12
Wadalba1.501.63+0.13
Warnervale - Wallarah - Bushells Ridge2.131.76-0.37
Watanobbi2.162.34+0.18
Woongarah2.502.45-0.05
Woy Woy - Blackwall2.082.15+0.07
Wyong1.952.26+0.31
Yattalunga - Saratoga - Davistown2.202.29+0.08

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Death rates

The forecast number of deaths in the Central Coast Council area is a reflection of death rates assumed for small areas. For historical years, this will equal the number of deaths published by the ABS, where this information was available at the time of forecasting. These rates are based on historical estimates for the Central Coast Council area, which have been extrapolated into the future, assuming an increase in expectation of life in all age groups (except 85 years and over).

Death rates are influential in shaping the numbers of older people in an area's population. Death rates too have been changing, with higher life expectancy at most ages, with men's life expectancy increasing more than that of women.

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