Canberra Region Joint Organisation areaPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Canberra Region Joint Organisation

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the Canberra Region Joint Organisation is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Canberra Region Joint Organisation depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • A gain of young and established families aged 25-44 years old with children aged 0-9 years
  • Loss of young adults aged 18-24 years who leave the area in search of education and employment opportunities elsewhere
  • Gain of mature adults, empty nesters and early retirees aged 45-64 years representing 'tree-changers', those downsizing their housing as their households become smaller and those who seek a rural lifestyle
  • Slight loss of retirees and the elderly aged over 65 years who may be migrating closer to urban centres and medical care/aged care facilities
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 182 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -413 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -520 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -273 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 145 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 625 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 956 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 828 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 1,131 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 1,534 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,846 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,613 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 847 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -720 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -1,895 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 155 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,062 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,463 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 262 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -156 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -280 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -226 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 150 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 599 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 611 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 716 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 698 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,612 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,871 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,076 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 436 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -798 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -1,862 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -11 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 932 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,185 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 182 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -413 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -520 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -273 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 145 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 625 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 956 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 828 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 1,131 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 1,534 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,846 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,613 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 847 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -720 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -1,895 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 155 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,062 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,463 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 262 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -156 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -280 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -226 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 150 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 599 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 611 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 716 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 698 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,612 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,871 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,076 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 436 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -798 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -1,862 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -11 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 932 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,185
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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